Yesterday's Market Summary and Technical Observation
BTC closed a small bullish candle with a doji star on the daily chart, with several needle-like pullbacks occurring in the early hours. Regarding the impact of macroeconomic data on the market, I personally believe its role is exaggerated—data mostly acts as a short-term emotional catalyst, while the true driver of market movement remains the bullish and bearish momentum of capital. The recent volatility was not significant, representing normal shakeout movements. Based on the current trend, we still need to complete a round of sufficient consolidation to accumulate energy for the subsequent second phase of upward movement. This fully aligns with the previously expected rhythm.
ETH also closed a small bullish candle yesterday with needle-like movements, currently oscillating between 3000 and 3100, repeatedly testing this range. In such a consolidation phase, needle-like movements will be more frequent, which actually indicates the market is solidifying its foundation and preparing for a rebound.
Weekend Market Outlook
For BTC, the weekend is expected to continue with sideways trading. It is important to monitor the key support level at 898, and pay close attention to resistance around 926-934. Once this range is broken, a larger upward space could open up.
On the ETH side, the small-scale needle movements between 3000-3100 will continue, and the previously targeted range of 3030-3060 has already been reached. The next key step is to confirm whether this support zone remains effective multiple times, which will determine the strength of the rebound. From a technical perspective, if the price breaks through the 3160-3220 range later, it could directly target a larger space of 3400-3600.
Overall, next week we should observe whether the current support levels' rebound effects are confirmed, which will decide the subsequent trend.
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GasGuru
· 17h ago
Still consolidating, I see this wave as just an energy accumulation phase.
Fundamentals are the real support; macroeconomic data is full of noise.
ETH has hit 3030-3060; next week we'll see if this support can hold.
Only after breaking through 926-934 will I consider the subsequent trend; for now, it's still volatile.
Frequent dips and shakeouts are just laying a solid foundation. Let's wait a bit longer.
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GasFeeCrier
· 17h ago
If it oscillates, then let it oscillate. Anyway, we'll find out next week.
I really don't trust the data from that 888 guy; funds are king.
I'm tired of this pin-prick washout routine. When will we break through 926?
ETH keeps testing here repeatedly. Should I buy some spot to hold?
Once the foundation is solid, it needs to push me up. Don't keep doing this虚的.
Only if 3160-3220 truly breaks through, then I dare to look at 3400. It's a bit early to say now.
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YieldHunter
· 17h ago
nah honestly the macro data take is spot on... if you look at the data, it's literally just noise half the time. what actually matters is the liquidity flows & correlation coefficients nobody talks about
actually concerned about those support levels holding tho. the 898 bounce feels fragile given current tvl movements
Reply0
SurvivorshipBias
· 17h ago
Data is exaggerated+1, and the capital volume speaks for itself. Don't bother with so much false information.
The narrative of oscillating consolidation and shakeouts always gets a "within expectations" reply. Anyway, no matter how it moves, it can be matched.
3030-3060 has already been hit. Now just wait for the rebound confirmation. Only a breakthrough of 3220 can see 3400+... Feels like we have to wait a while again.
Whether the support level is effective will be clear next week. Currently, blindly trading feels a bit虚.
Frequent needle stabbing is really annoying. Watching the trend gets interrupted several times,牙疼.
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ResearchChadButBroke
· 17h ago
The macro data rhetoric has been heard too many times; we still need to look at the funding situation to speak.
Is the selling point coming again? 926-934 still need to wait, not that fast.
Repeated testing of 3000-3100, is this round of foundation-building real or fake...
Support levels need to be confirmed multiple times before taking action, otherwise you'll have to cut losses again.
We'll see next week; a rebound only counts if it materializes.
Is the shakeout and consolidation pattern still effective now?
Yesterday's Market Summary and Technical Observation
BTC closed a small bullish candle with a doji star on the daily chart, with several needle-like pullbacks occurring in the early hours. Regarding the impact of macroeconomic data on the market, I personally believe its role is exaggerated—data mostly acts as a short-term emotional catalyst, while the true driver of market movement remains the bullish and bearish momentum of capital. The recent volatility was not significant, representing normal shakeout movements. Based on the current trend, we still need to complete a round of sufficient consolidation to accumulate energy for the subsequent second phase of upward movement. This fully aligns with the previously expected rhythm.
ETH also closed a small bullish candle yesterday with needle-like movements, currently oscillating between 3000 and 3100, repeatedly testing this range. In such a consolidation phase, needle-like movements will be more frequent, which actually indicates the market is solidifying its foundation and preparing for a rebound.
Weekend Market Outlook
For BTC, the weekend is expected to continue with sideways trading. It is important to monitor the key support level at 898, and pay close attention to resistance around 926-934. Once this range is broken, a larger upward space could open up.
On the ETH side, the small-scale needle movements between 3000-3100 will continue, and the previously targeted range of 3030-3060 has already been reached. The next key step is to confirm whether this support zone remains effective multiple times, which will determine the strength of the rebound. From a technical perspective, if the price breaks through the 3160-3220 range later, it could directly target a larger space of 3400-3600.
Overall, next week we should observe whether the current support levels' rebound effects are confirmed, which will decide the subsequent trend.