#美国非农就业数据未达市场预期 Non-farm payroll data released, a big drop. Although the increase in employment was below expectations and considered bearish, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell, which is awkward—initially, the probability of a rate cut was rising rapidly, but once the unemployment data came out, a January rate cut became basically a pipe dream. The market's reaction to this set of data has been quite dull, clearly not fully digested yet.



Yesterday's short-selling ideas worked well; Bitcoin dropped over 1,000 points, and Ethereum almost followed suit, but unfortunately, the move didn't fully materialize. It's a pity, but the market is just so capricious.

From the daily chart perspective, Bitcoin and Ethereum have been closing with consecutive down candles these days, with the Bollinger Bands expanding upward in unison. On the technical indicators, KDJ has already formed a death cross on all three lines, and MACD's momentum is gradually shrinking, signaling a clear bearish trend. But this market feels a bit stuck—capital inflow hasn't fully exited yet, and even such heavy non-farm payroll data didn't stir up much turbulence. The weekend probably won't create much wave either. Continue to operate within the range and avoid reckless moves.

**January 10 Short-Sell Reference**

Bitcoin: Consider shorting when rebounding to the 91,600-92,000 range, with a stop at around 93,000. First target: 91,000-90,500; if broken, watch the 90,000 level. If it continues downward, focus on 89,500-89,000, then adjust stop-loss to lock in profits based on the situation.

Ethereum: Short when rebounding to 3,140-3,180, with a stop at 3,230. Targets are sequentially 3,100-3,070-3,050; if broken, look at 3,020-3,000, then move stop-loss accordingly to protect gains.

**January 10 Long-Sell Reference**

Bitcoin: If retracing to 88,500-89,000, you can gradually build long positions, with a stop at 88,000. Targets are 90,000-90,500-91,000; if broken, look at 91,500-92,000.

Ethereum: If retracing to 2,970-3,000, consider going long, with a stop at 2,930. Targets are 3,050-3,070-3,100.

The market has no absolute direction; the key is disciplined execution—act when the points are right, and wait patiently when they are not. Don't chase orders or trade excessively; years later, you'll thank yourself for your restraint.
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FlashLoanKingvip
· 1h ago
Non-farm data is a bit awkward, with no hope of interest rate cuts, feeling a bit disappointing. The market stalling is the real discomfort; funds haven't moved. Yesterday's short positions were pretty good, but unfortunately, Ethereum just missed that final push. This weekend probably won't generate much excitement; better to play it safe, stay disciplined, and wait for the right levels.
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GateUser-5854de8bvip
· 16h ago
The non-farm data really caused a stir; the unemployment rate surprisingly dropped, which actually killed the expectation of a rate cut... The market reaction is so slow, it feels like it's still digesting. Yesterday's short positions were really aggressive, just a pity I didn't get into that Ethereum move, almost had the chance. This weekend, the market might not really create any waves, continue to stay within the range and don't force it yourself.
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EntryPositionAnalystvip
· 16h ago
Oh no, with the unemployment rate decreasing, there's no hope for a rate cut? That logic is a bit twisted. The market reaction is so sluggish, even major non-farm payrolls can't shake it. Yesterday's short positions were indeed smart, but Ethereum's final move was truly outstanding. The market feels stuck, probably will stay like this over the weekend. Funds haven't been fully withdrawn, let's wait and see. Discipline is absolutely reliable, more effective than any technical indicator. KDJ dead cross and MACD shrinking, bearish signals are clear, but I still feel like something's missing. Don't chase blindly, wait for the right levels to act, or you'll just be giving away money. Remember this rebound zone at 91600-92000, act when it hits. There might be a bullish opportunity around 88500. Follow the rhythm, avoid frequent trades—I’ve lost money that way myself.
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YieldChaservip
· 16h ago
Non-farm payrolls just came out like this, and policy expectations are all over the place. But on the other hand, the market's sluggish reaction is actually a good thing, giving us an opportunity window. The bearish signals are indeed clear, but the feeling of being a bit stuck is real. The weekend market probably won't create any waves, so it's better to stick to discipline and wait for better levels. Although I didn't fully enter short positions yesterday, dropping over a thousand points is still pretty good. I'm just worried that some of the guys chasing after positions might not be able to hold back. This kind of market really tests your mentality; the saying "don't act recklessly" is so true.
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CompoundPersonalityvip
· 16h ago
Even with such a strong non-farm report, it didn't stir up any waves. Indeed, it's hitting a wall hard, and there's definitely no hope over the weekend.
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StableGeniusDegenvip
· 16h ago
The non-farm payroll data was so significant and didn't cause a spike; it really feels like the market has become numb.
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MEV_Whisperervip
· 17h ago
Even with such a strong non-farm payroll, it didn't break out. I'm really thinking of taking a break this weekend.
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