2026-01-10 07:30:18

The latest market expectations indicate that the Federal Reserve is very likely to initiate a rate cut cycle in the first half of this year. According to the consensus among traders and analysts, this wave of rate cuts is mainly concentrated between March and September, with an expected 2 to 3 rate cut measures. This is a full six months earlier than the December to September window of the past two years.

Looking at the schedule, the Federal Reserve's FOMC meetings in the first half of the year are scheduled for January, March, April, and June. The most recent meeting was on January 28, and the decisions made at this meeting could send important signals to the market.

For participants in the crypto market, expectations of rate cuts generally mean liquidity easing. Mainstream assets like BTC and SHIB tend to benefit from a loose monetary environment—funds flow from fixed income products such as bonds into risk assets. When the Federal Reserve signals a rate cut, investors reassess the attractiveness of high-volatility assets, which could provide positive support for digital asset prices.

In the coming months, the market will closely monitor the pace and language of each FOMC meeting, as any statements regarding the timing of rate cuts could trigger sector-wide reactions.

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MidnightSeller

· 16h ago

Is the interest rate cut coming? Is it time for BTC to take off? My kidneys are ready. Wait, that meeting on January 28th... feels like I'm about to get cut again. The Fed says they're cutting rates, but what about in practice? Anyway, I don't believe it anymore. Liquidity easing sounds comfortable, but unfortunately, I only have USD in my wallet, not USDT. Is this real this time? They said the same last year, and look what happened... We'll see on January 28th, otherwise I'll just go all-in on short positions. Expectations of rate cuts... once you believe it, you're trapped. I don't even want to hear about it now. BTC is about to surge again, but I'm still holding my positions. Laughing to death. Forget it, I'll wait until March to see. It's too risky to enter now.

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DataBartender

· 16h ago

Is a rate cut coming? When will our chips double? The meeting is on January 28th. It would be good if they could give some dovish signals this time. Wait, will liquidity really flow into the crypto market, or is it just another cut? Anyway, every time before the Federal Reserve's rate decision, there's such speculation, but in the end, it's just a reverse operation. BTC is supposed to rise with a rate cut, then it drops again due to policy uncertainty—laughable. Two to three rate cuts in the first half of the year? I bet a coin won't go that smoothly. Really? They didn't even wait for a rate cut in the past two years, and now it's coming in the first half? See you in March—either huge profits or liquidation, no third option. Loose liquidity = retail investors entering = our escape route, got it. Every time such expectations arise, I want to go all-in, but I’m still alive because I’ve never done that. It should have cut rates long ago; bonds are completely rotten.

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LayerZeroJunkie

· 16h ago

With such strong expectations of rate cuts, I think the real watershed will be the Federal Reserve meeting on January 28th. Let's wait and see—once liquidity loosens, BTC will immediately take off. History always repeats itself. The last two years, the rate cuts only came in September. This time, they might start as early as the first half of the year? The pace is a bit fast. Things like SHIB are highly sensitive to liquidity. Once the rate cut signals become clear, it should follow suit. Basically, it means bond yields are no longer attractive, and funds must flow into risk assets. Those who start accumulating now will be the happiest when the time comes—that's a basic rule. Two to three rate cuts may not sound like much, but for the crypto world, it's enough. Once the Federal Reserve speaks, the market will follow suit—it's really interesting.

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GhostInTheChain

· 17h ago

Is a rate cut coming? Can BTC stop tormenting me repeatedly? It should have been cut long ago. With such high bond yields, who still plays with cryptocurrencies? The key meeting on January 28th, this time Powell needs to tell some real truths. Talking about liquidity easing sounds nice, but it's all about the Federal Reserve's stance. From March to September, I bet two rate cuts will push BTC past 100,000. Instead of guessing what the Fed will do, it's better to watch how the market is trading. Every time before the FOMC meeting, the market drops—so magical. The rate cut expectations have already been priced in once; are new entrants going to get cut? I've heard this tune before last year; better not get too hopeful. Is capital flowing from bonds into risk assets? Sounds almost too real.

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