#比特币期权交易 Tomorrow, $23.6 billion worth of options will expire, marking a significant time point to watch. After market makers unwind their hedging positions, the price support previously maintained by the options structure will temporarily weaken, and volatility will inevitably increase — this is not a prediction, but a market mechanism.
The key points to focus on are two levels:
**Short-term level**, if BTC retraces to around $80,000-$82,000, the decline caused by this structural vacuum may not necessarily signal a new round of sharp drops. I’ve noticed a bullish divergence in the "price and capital inflow gradient" on smaller timeframes — meaning capital outflow is relatively moderate while the price drops more significantly, which usually indicates correction rather than trend continuation.
**Historical comparison**, during 2024-2025 and 2021-2022, four similar bullish divergence signals were followed by rebounds or even trend reversals. The probability is there.
**Current assessment**, the overall market sentiment remains in a correction phase, so a rebound rather than a trend reversal is more likely. The volatility caused by options expiration is just a short-term catalyst; the real opportunity depends on the market’s response within this price range.
Options expiration days are often the clearest signals; having a plan is more important than making predictions.
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#比特币期权交易 Tomorrow, $23.6 billion worth of options will expire, marking a significant time point to watch. After market makers unwind their hedging positions, the price support previously maintained by the options structure will temporarily weaken, and volatility will inevitably increase — this is not a prediction, but a market mechanism.
The key points to focus on are two levels:
**Short-term level**, if BTC retraces to around $80,000-$82,000, the decline caused by this structural vacuum may not necessarily signal a new round of sharp drops. I’ve noticed a bullish divergence in the "price and capital inflow gradient" on smaller timeframes — meaning capital outflow is relatively moderate while the price drops more significantly, which usually indicates correction rather than trend continuation.
**Historical comparison**, during 2024-2025 and 2021-2022, four similar bullish divergence signals were followed by rebounds or even trend reversals. The probability is there.
**Current assessment**, the overall market sentiment remains in a correction phase, so a rebound rather than a trend reversal is more likely. The volatility caused by options expiration is just a short-term catalyst; the real opportunity depends on the market’s response within this price range.
Options expiration days are often the clearest signals; having a plan is more important than making predictions.