[TP Academy③] "Despite positive news, why did the stock price plummet?"… The "topic economics" trap that suddenly ambushes you behind the scenes

For investors shaken by the noise in the cryptocurrency market, ‘TokenPost Academy’ with 8 years of on-site experience will provide genuine investment standards. We invite you to embark on a seven-stage masterclass journey that replaces “intuition” with “data” and “luck” with “strength” to challenge the top 1%. [Editor’s Note]

“I heard they partnered with big companies! Now I must buy in!”

Once good news is announced, retail investors press the buy button. The price seems to rise, but then suddenly plummets. Even if they curse “whales taking profits and leaving,” their accounts are already in the red. Is it a scam? Not at all. It’s just that you haven’t examined the project’s “economic structure(Tokenomics).”

◆ 10 Yuan Coins Are Cheap? The Illusion of “Unit Price”

The most common mistake beginners make is focusing only on the “price(Price)” of a single coin. “Bitcoin costs 100 million Korean won, that’s too expensive. Better buy a 10-yuan coin, and if it doubles to 20 yuan, that’s a profit, right?”

This is a dangerous illusion. Whether a pizza is cut into 4 slices or 100 slices, the size of the pizza remains the same. If the issuance reaches hundreds of billions, the market cap of a 10-yuan coin could already be in the tens of trillions of Korean won. This is mistaking a “heavy coin” with no room for growth as a “cheap asset” to buy.

◆ Invisible Bomb: FDV and Unlocking(Unlock)

Even more frightening is the “hidden circulating supply.” The current trading volume on exchanges may only be the tip of the iceberg. Savvy investors will definitely confirm the “FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation).” This is the total market cap when all unissued tokens are included.

If the current circulating supply accounts for only 10% of the total, and the remaining 90% is locked with the development team and early investors(VC), what happens when monthly “unlocking(Unlock)” occurs? The market will flood with circulating supply bombs. Even if the market cap remains unchanged, the increase in coin quantity will inevitably lead to a sharp price drop. This is the horror of “token inflation.”

◆ “What is a good token economy?”

Early investors bought tokens at prices 100 times cheaper than yours. When their “unlock day(Unlock Day)” arrives, it’s “profit-taking day” for them, but for retail investors, it’s “the day they are forced to buy the dip.”

Before investing, be sure to confirm the following three points on the white paper(Whitepaper) or official website:

Distribution ratio: Do insiders (team/VC) hold too much circulating supply?

Unlock schedule: When is the large-scale circulating supply release date?

Inflation rate: How many new coins are minted each year?

Entering the market without confirming these details and only looking at charts is like pouring water into a bottomless tank.

👉 [Survival Strategy] Instead of looking for coins that can increase 100 times, it’s better to avoid coins that will drop 90%. Master the practical analysis method for screening poor token economies, all in TokenPost Academy’s second stage: The Analyst(.

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