#比特币2026年行情展望 What will Bitcoin do in the next 24 hours? Let me break down the probability distribution.

**The three most likely scenarios:**
There is a 60% chance of a moderate increase, targeting the $98,000 to $102,000 range. Additionally, there is a 25% chance of consolidation, staying between $95,000 and $98,000 with sideways movement. The remaining 15% risk is a pullback, testing the support levels between $92,000 and $95,000.

**Pay close attention to these details**

Whether the $100,000 psychological barrier can be truly broken and held is crucial. Also, observe if the RSI indicator remains stable above 50—that determines the subsequent bullish momentum. Another easily overlooked point: how is the ETF's net inflow data for the day, combined with trading volume to see if volume confirms the move. These factors can tell you the real buying strength.

**Choose your strategy based on your role**

Short-term traders should focus on the resistance zone between $98,000 and $100,000. Once a clear breakout occurs here, look toward $106,000. For holders, the current position is relatively safe; setting a stop-loss below $95,000 is sufficient. For those still watching, don't rush—wait until BTC actually breaks through $100,000 and then retests for confirmation. Entering at that point will have a higher success rate.

**Unavoidable risks**

The volatility of the crypto market is inherently different; this analysis is just a reference and not investment advice. Everyone's risk tolerance varies, so make decisions based on your actual situation. Don't follow the crowd blindly, and always leave room in your asset allocation.