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Ladies and gentlemen, let me help you sort out the recent major market event's logic.
January 14, 2026, was supposed to be the "Judgment Day" for the global financial community, but the U.S. Supreme Court has yet to make a ruling on the legality of global tariffs. This bizarre "absence" has directly ignited market sentiment, and Wall Street and legal experts are now eyeing next Tuesday (January 20), expecting an unprecedented wave of financial volatility to unfold.
In a context where fiat currency credibility is under threat and trade policies are becoming economic weapons, interestingly—the Dusk ecosystem, which has just launched its DuskEVM mainnet, is gradually becoming a "digital refuge" in the eyes of market participants, thanks to its dual compliance and privacy features.
**Three Policy Directions, Three Completely Different Asset Fates**
Let's break down the three currently locked-in scenarios:
First: Full government defeat (probability about 55%). If the court rules that administrative power exceeds authority, the U.S. government will face the return of between $133.5 billion and $200 billion in taxes. Once this money is released, the U.S. fiscal deficit will inevitably soar, and this huge sum will quickly flow into enterprises and markets. For the crypto market, this is an unconventional liquidity release—once these funds seek investment outlets, assets like $DUSK, which combine compliance potential with privacy features, along with traditional safe-haven assets like BTC, could see significant upward momentum.
Second: Full government victory (probability about 30%). This means administrative authority is confirmed...