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Ethereum futures have been fluctuating recently, and many people are unsure whether to enter the market. My straightforward view is: the key level is 3345. This level remains unchanged, and so does the direction judgment.
As long as the price stays below 3345, bears are favored. Someone might ask, it rose to 3400 and then fell back, what does that mean? It indicates no real breakout, just a false move. My advice is to strictly follow your trading plan: short below 3345, and immediately set a break-even stop-loss once entered. Don’t worry about whether a pullback will cause a loss; a few break-even stops won’t cost anything. In fact, if you catch a move midway, you can make a small profit.
**How to Play the Bulls**
There is only one trigger condition: a breakout above 3345, and after stabilizing, a pullback to 3345 without breaking below. Only then can a long signal be confirmed. Once confirmed, target the 3650-3750 range. The risk-reward ratio is sufficient, with a profit potential of 200-500 points, making it worth waiting for confirmation.
**How to Play the Bears**
There are two entry opportunities. The first is when the price stabilizes below 3345, satisfying the short condition and opening a short position directly. The second is a volume-driven drop below 3280, confirming the bear trend and allowing participation. An especially important point is setting the stop-loss—just 10 points is enough; don’t be greedy with a large stop-loss. If you get stopped out, don’t be frustrated; wait for the next opportunity to re-enter.
The most critical point: **Do not fight the trend**. This is not just advice, but a trading discipline. Once a short position is opened downward, take partial profits at 3170, 3090, 3045, 2950, and 2850, and remember to lock in profits by trailing your stop-loss.
From a technical perspective, the overall structure clearly indicates a retracement demand. Given this need, plus such an exaggerated risk-reward ratio, why not give it a try? If you have time to monitor the market, just press the button at the right level—no need for complicated strategies. While more frequent operations may wear on your mindset, once you get in position, it’s real, substantial profit. That’s the logic of making money.