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Silver's exceptional rally has drawn considerable market attention, particularly with funds trading at significant premiums that have caught investors off guard. Guotau Silver LOF, which has emerged as a focal point of this phenomenon, will halt trading from market open on December 26th through 10:30 AM to address growing concerns over valuation extremes.
The catalyst behind this surge is evident: London silver reached $71.81 per ounce on December 24th, marking an extraordinary year-to-date appreciation exceeding 140%. This momentum has propelled Guotau Silver LOF to consecutive daily limits, with the fund trading at a staggering 68.19% premium—a red flag that fund managers cannot ignore.
The performance metrics are striking. Guotau Silver LOF has delivered a year-to-date return of 254.9%, substantially outpacing the underlying commodity's gains. However, fund management has signaled alarm bells, announcing that it will recalibrate subscription parameters and warning that current Class A share limits of 500 yuan no longer reflect sustainable pricing. They've explicitly cautioned investors that secondary market premiums of this magnitude are untenable and represent significant downside risk.
This phenomenon extends beyond a single fund. Commodity-focused LOFs and resource-oriented funds have collectively hit daily trading limits, prompting multiple fund administrators to issue formal warnings about elevated premium risks. Several have already implemented temporary trading suspensions as a protective measure. The convergence of these actions underscores institutional recognition that the market has detached from fundamental valuations, creating a precarious environment where retail investors face substantial exposure to mean reversion.