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Why is it easiest to lose money chaotically in a ranging market?
Many people think:
A big drop is dangerous,
A big rise is exciting.
But veteran traders all know one truth:
It's never the trend that kills you, but the oscillation.
---
1. Ranging Market, specifically deadly to those who think they can trade
In trending markets,
Even if your skill is average,
As long as you get the direction right,
You can make a decent profit.
Ranging markets are different.
A ranging market is an environment that doesn't reward directional judgment,
Whether you go long or short,
Both could be wrong.
And who suffers the most?
👉 Learned some technical skills but didn't finish learning.
---
2. The essence of a ranging market: No consensus
A trend can develop,
Relies on consensus.
A ranging market is exactly the opposite:
Neither bulls nor bears are firm,
Funds just want to "grab a quick profit and leave."
So you'll see:
Breakouts are false breakouts
Breakdowns are false breakdowns
Good news doesn't rise
Bad news doesn't fall
The only certainty in the market is:
When you chase, it turns back.
---
3. Why is it easiest to "trade recklessly" in a ranging market?
Because it perfectly hits three major human weaknesses:
1️⃣ Seeing volatility and wanting to act
Ranging markets give you opportunities every day,
But most of these aren't for making money.
They're for:
Restlessness
Impatience
Wanting to prove yourself
2️⃣ The risk-reward ratio is naturally poor
Features of a ranging market:
Small space, frequent reversals.
You stop-loss and exit quickly,
But take profits always feel "not enough."
The result is:
Small gains several times,
And losing it all in one go.
3️⃣ Extremely draining emotionally
Ranging markets don't cause losses due to technical errors,
But due to mental exhaustion.
After several consecutive stop-losses,
You start to:
Enter trades randomly
Magnify position sizes
Trade revengefully
Then, a big blow-up occurs.
---
4. The biggest illusion in a ranging market:
"I almost caught the rhythm"
This is the most insidious part of a ranging market.
You keep thinking:
> "If only I had waited a bit longer"
"Had entered after observing one less cycle"
So you get more and more complicated,
Changing more and more chaotically.
But the truth is:
It's not that you almost caught it, but that this market isn't worth your participation from the start.
---
5. Ranging markets are not untradeable, but should not be traded recklessly
Captain speaks frankly:
Those who can make money in a ranging market,
Either are:
Light on positions
Low frequency
Extremely disciplined
Or simply do not trade at all.
If you:
Trade frequently in and out
Love chasing breakouts
Get excited as soon as your position is open
Then, for you,
A ranging market is not an opportunity, but a trap.
---
6. What is the correct approach in a ranging market?
Three points are enough:
1️⃣ Lower expectations
Don't expect to eat a full meal in one wave,
Take what you get, and leave if there's nothing.
2️⃣ Only trade at the boundaries, not in the middle
The middle is a meat grinder,
Edges have the best risk-reward ratio.
3️⃣ Better to miss out than to get caught up emotionally
Ranging markets test not just technical skills,
But patience.
---
7. Many people don't lack trading skills,
They can't tell whether "it's worth trading now."
The market is open every day,
But not every day is suitable for making money.
The highest-level operation in a ranging market
Often boils down to four words:
Hold cash and observe.
---
Captain's closing remark:
> Trend markets test your skill,
Ranging markets test your humanity.
> Those who can avoid reckless losses in a ranging market,
Are qualified to survive the next trend.
---
Above all,
Purely the captain's personal opinion.
This does not constitute any investment advice.
Feel free to criticize,
Feel free to argue,
Old hands are on the deck,
Waiting for you to challenge.
— Captain ⚓