Everyone, I want to share some sobering market observations.



Many people look at the recent decline of Ethereum and think we've reached the worst point. If you pull up the monthly chart and examine it carefully, you'll notice an overlooked but crucial detail: that "monthly lower shadow"—the level capable of clearing out the last batch of leverage and establishing a long-term bottom—may not have been formed yet. From a different perspective, what we're experiencing now might just be the opening act of this correction.

The cruelty of the market isn't in a single sharp plunge, but in the relentless, torturous downward trend. Support levels that seemed solid are repeatedly broken, and rebound highs that seemed promising are smashed down again. While daily traders struggle with losses, big funds are calmly positioning themselves on the monthly scale. They understand exactly where each "iron bottom" is, and they know where your stop-loss orders will be triggered—because this is the map of liquidity being harvested.

I'm not sharing this to create pessimism, but to help us see clearly what kind of market environment we're truly in. Relying on intuition and luck to survive here has become so unlikely that it's hardly worth mentioning. Behind every support level, there could be a pile of risks waiting to be triggered; every rebound might be the start of another liquidity sweep.

This is no longer just a simple investment game. It's more like a survival test involving cognition, patience, and risk management. Those who make money are often not because they predict the market perfectly, but because they manage risk most prudently.

So the question is: in the face of potentially deeper corrections, what should we do? Continue betting on the bottom, or turn around and focus on things we can control and have more confidence in? Each person must answer this for themselves.
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ImpermanentTherapistvip
· 6h ago
Has the monthly lower shadow not appeared yet? Damn, hearing that just sounds so hopeless. Big funds are positioning while we're getting stopped out. Why is the gap so huge? To put it simply, it still needs to fall. Just be straight with me, bro.
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GateUser-cff9c776vip
· 6h ago
Is the monthly lower shadow not yet formed? Well said, this is a classic example of "Schrödinger's bottom" [Dog Head] --- Honestly, the metaphor of big funds' stop-loss orders collecting maps is brilliant, perfectly illustrating the philosophy of a bear market --- So the question now is, do we keep gambling or admit that we are just the fish being slaughtered? --- Risk management is indeed the only reason to survive, but most people can't do it, including myself --- That unformed monthly lower shadow, I'll just treat it as a piece of art; anyway, it's all about appreciating others' wealth transfer --- According to this logic, those who go all-in now are either geniuses or just paying tuition to big funds
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PessimisticOraclevip
· 7h ago
Is the monthly lower shadow not formed? Then we're really still at the gate of hell. Big funds are playing chess, retail investors are gambling, and the difference is so big. Instead of watching K-lines every day, it's better to set your stop-loss properly and avoid being tricked. It's a harsh truth, but a bit too pessimistic. Someone is always picking up bargains at the bottom. Risk management > prediction accuracy. There's nothing wrong with this statement, but most people can't do it.
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MentalWealthHarvestervip
· 7h ago
Oh no, the fact that the monthly candle's lower shadow didn't form is really disappointing. It feels like we're still just in the opening act. It's that same script of big funds cutting leeks every time—so familiar yet powerless. Rather than guessing the bottom, it's better to manage risks properly. That's the true meaning of survival. That's right, making money has always been a small probability event; surviving is the big event. Those who still dare to rebound and throw in more are probably going to be harvested twice.
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