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[Red Envelope] March 26 Review: The script was ahead of schedule, accurately identifying Yunnan Energy's lowest point twice. The logical view remains unchanged. Look for opportunities next week!
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Collection of practical posts:**
Live broadcast replay:
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Please watch the VCR:
One on the 16th and one yesterday. Did the low absorption of YN Energy precisely control the situation?
Morning bidding information:
Bidding risk/opportunity news tips and analysis:
At 9:16 AM, it was pointed out that we must constantly observe the closing order situation of Liao Energy because there was actually a little closing order when it opened. Therefore, we need to see if the closing order increases, leading to a panic sell-off of the theme.
In the electricity sector, there were quite a few closing orders at 15 minutes past, and everyone was betting overnight on who would rebound. The sentiment is still okay; Guangxi has the maximum single order, so we need to pay attention to whether it decreases sharply. If it’s too low, it will negatively impact sentiment. If it holds, it could potentially rebound because the tier is quite clear; if you really want to play, it has to be a limit up.
Taishan, as mentioned yesterday, needs to verify with a handover explosion, corresponding to the positioning opportunities in the same tier, and this is the last buying point in the four-board tier.
At 9:21 AM, it was pointed out that there were no closing orders for Liao Energy, so let’s see where it opens, ideally in shallow water or at the zero axis, giving others a chance to exchange chips at a good cost.
If Taishan is to open up, then it corresponds to the opportunity for handover in the same tier, seeing who closes the line and ensures it seals the deal.
The maximum single order for GuiGuang suggests a starting indication; as mentioned this morning, AoRuiDe’s identification is no longer closed, so we should look for strong reversal opportunities. Logically, Monday is the starting point for YN Energy, and today’s computing power leading the pack looks good; reverse logic seems fine so far.
At 9:24 AM, it was indicated that if Hunan opens too low, it will lose competitiveness. Therefore, either a shallow lift to red or a slight red is preferable, so we can position for the Taishan profit-taking node.
At 9:27 AM, it was pointed out that Liao Energy opened red, but personally, I think it opened a bit too high, which makes it difficult to exchange hands due to lack of cost-effectiveness, which is not good for the theme. Moreover, opening too high reveals a clear intent to offload.
For GuiGuang’s maximum single order, there are signs of a potential start, suggesting a bet on the Monday return of YN Energy to stimulate computing power. As mentioned yesterday, today is a low absorption bet.
Hunan and Taishan positioning have been mentioned several times this morning; if you can’t position, the other side needs to run. Don’t fantasize.
Shaoneng opened red; the logic has been mentioned, wanting to eat the benefits from GuiGuang, but it’s not the right time yet; next week is the node, heating computing power is reasonable, but preempting computing power is not reasonable. YN Energy can’t handle this kind of turmoil; if this continues, it can only sacrifice ShunNa as a flag.
At 9:28 AM, it was pointed out that the stocks being grabbed in bidding were Liao Energy, Rongjie, and Hunan, indicating that the third entry into the fourth has everyone’s thoughts. It just depends on who seals the board first. Liao Energy’s red opening provides confidence for the supplementary rise, indicating that a rebound indeed needs to be done.
The information concluded from the bidding is:
1. GuiGuang’s maximum single order, reverse logic for the scenario of returning to computing power next week is feasible; therefore, today should be a bottom-fishing opportunity for the computing power line, looking for well-formed patterns. From the angle of computing power identification, AoRuiDe is fine, taking cost-effectiveness is good, and pushing past the opening price or turning strong after crossing the zero axis is also viable.
2. The closing order for Huitian in bidding didn’t surpass Guangxi, so the perspective from the three-board group should be cautious not to be fooled.
3. Liao Energy opened red, Taishan opened the board, and Hunan rushed to grab shares, indicating a struggle for positioning; the victor takes supplementary positions, and the loser should run cleanly.
4. Liao Energy opened red, logically YN Energy should have no issues; therefore, today it is possible to do T, low absorption and high selling can make for a very comfortable T.
5. Liao Energy rushed to grab shares opened red, but it opened a bit high, indicating an intention to offload; the direct subordinate, Dongfang, helps Liao Energy offload. The 10-day can be a bet, but the certainty is a bit lacking and feels like shooting after the fact. Everyone should have a rough idea.
Today’s operations:
1. Taishan’s board at 1 billion indicates its stance, Hunan’s attack turned back; if it can’t surpass the high point, the probability of simultaneous advancement is reduced, clearing out around 2-3%.
2. Computing power starts, probability increases for the computing electricity logic; absorbed Yu A at the 5-day line, waiting for Monday’s YN Energy line to start.
3. Hanlan, exited at a high point, cleared out at the zero axis; expectations accelerated, the elder moved first, the younger didn’t react, so it was premature. Next, we need to see the selling logic of New Energy Taishan, with expectations still in place.
4. Meinuohua confirmed to be sealed, arbitraged bonds; looking back, indeed just made a shallow profit…
Today’s review:
Today’s market rotation was very intense; mainly, Liao Energy chose to develop cautiously. Throughout the day, lithium batteries, chemicals, aerospace, innovative drugs, etc., fermented, but all appeared during the main line’s divergence. The funds were relatively cautious, and many were first pulling recognition or oversold patterns. This can actually reverse the main line just being divergent, not genuinely replaced since the sincerity is clearly lacking.
In line with the script being executed, Liao Energy didn’t show strong movements today, so tickets related to the Liao Energy line need to pay attention to switching. Therefore, the new energy sector is planned for cautious development today, with YN Energy starting on Monday. If YN Energy starts early today, it corresponds to the computing electricity logic, with Liao Energy cautiously positioning for abnormal movements while YN Energy leads the way. Although it’s a preemptive move, Liao Energy’s performance after moving 100 on the abnormal side is actually not bad. The supervision above is not strict, which also gives YN Energy some courage to engage in funding relay for Liao Energy’s divergence. Essentially, it’s still the original plan, with YN Energy taking Liao Energy to do computing electricity in the new stage of the big cycle.
Finally, regarding YN Energy’s logic, I currently think it’s still okay, a day earlier than I expected, but it was also called out in the preset for several days. YN Energy closing near the 20-day line to watch for opportunities; yesterday a bunch of brothers thought it was over, I said don’t panic, it’s within expectations, and today it exceeded expectations a bit. Logically, it should start on Monday, pushed forward a day, making me laugh as I played the younger brother. These two guys are truly underperforming; originally, the younger brother would heat up, and a Monday start would perfectly bring computing electricity to relay new energy resources, but they insisted on making YN Energy not continue.
Let’s first look at the logic verification:
The logic of YN Energy is fine, earlier than I thought by a day, but it was also called out a few days in advance. YN Energy should close near the 20-day line to look for opportunities. Yesterday, many brothers thought it was over; I said don’t panic, it’s within expectations. As a result, today it exceeded expectations a bit. Logically, Monday is the start, pushed a day early, making me laugh as I played the younger brother. These two guys are really underperforming; originally, the younger brother heated up, and Monday’s start would perfectly connect computing electricity to relay new energy resources, but they insisted on making YN Energy not continue.
Hunan, as previously mentioned, had average proactivity and pressure resistance. Therefore, the expectation for positioning should decrease, and I only recommend buying at the most suitable time because the certainty is better, with a bit more risk the next day. So, under short-term logic, don’t hesitate; if you hesitate, let it go. Don’t be subjective; if you can’t position, just leave.
The relationship between YN Energy and Liao Energy should be very clear today. They are in the same group; Liao Energy chose to position for abnormal movements, so all supplementary rises in the Liao Energy sector need to pay attention to Liao Energy’s movements. Why push YN Energy? Essentially, Liao Energy has tested it; supervision is not strict, so there’s no need to engage in abnormal movements, transferring funds through the form of YN Energy’s charge. Essentially, it’s still yesterday’s script logic.
There’s no need to emphasize the logic of playing bonds anymore, as there are relevant practical post links above; you can backtest it.
Let’s look at the consecutive boards:
4 boards:
New Energy Taishan, 1 billion strong re-seal, knocked out Hunan. Micron, so bad, can still bring it back, so cables can also ferment. Currently looks like a supplementary rise, so corresponding offloading can prepare for the younger brother’s reverse push of the elder’s logic.
Rongjie, if there’s food, then eat, but the stock price is too high; is the reverse push for lithium batteries not genuinely intended? Or will it be let go later?
Meinuohua, with bonds, innovative drugs have fermented; next week still needs to pay attention to the return of electricity, YN Energy is here for this.
2 boards: break point nodes
Wanbang, reverse push Meinuohua.
Guangxi, has rebounded, continue the limit up.
Dadongnan, solid-state + energy storage; yesterday a bunch of Zhejiang plastics just pushed you, right?
Shenjian, why not do it after the rise?
Shida, push Rongjie, making it unrealistic, big butt.
Jin Kong, Shanxi Electric, need to see if Guangxi allows it.
Jinmei, chemical positioning.
First board preset discussed again.
Thanks to the brothers who cheered me on in the last post!
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Thanks to the brothers who rewarded me in the last post (Top Brother: @I once stepped on the peak) @Yunlu Shengming @YiYi @NiuNiu @FanDouHuaYuan NiuNiuYe @YouBuHongShuiHong @ZhuoZhuoQiHua7788 @LiuJinSuiYue1188 @YouRenYouYuX @LongHaiShiTao @YiJiangQianDai @DaBanXiaoZi, thank you for your support!**
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Thanks to Brother Jinfen for the support @YiJiangQianDai, wishing all brothers a prosperous account!**
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