Прогнозируемый рынок входит в эпоху мейнстрима: новые возможности и вызовы, связанные с глубоким слиянием криптовалют и ИИ

【BlockBeats】Prediction markets have become the new trend. Many industry insiders believe that 2026 will see a true explosion in this track — as cryptocurrency technology and artificial intelligence deepen their integration, prediction market scale will expand, coverage will broaden, and it will become increasingly sophisticated. However, new prosperity inevitably brings new challenges.

The surge in contract volume is a signal. This year we can see more new contracts being launched sequentially, not only involving macro events concerning elections or geopolitics, but also encompassing diverse niches and complexly interwoven scenarios. Once these contracts disclose data, they integrate into news ecosystems and may even influence public opinion in reverse. This raises an acute question: how much value do such data points actually have? How can market design be optimized while ensuring transparency and auditability? Blockchain technology provides the foundational infrastructure here.

The real test lies in the resolution mechanism. When contracts experience explosive growth, the market needs a reliable “consensus on truth” mechanism to resolve disputes — who determines what events have actually occurred? This is the core challenge builders must solve and the key to whether prediction markets can develop healthily in the long term.