30 демократов США выступают за запрет рынков прогнозов? Скандал с инсайдерской торговлей на Polymarket вызывает волну регулирования

【Blockchain News】Prediction markets are in trouble again. A group of Democratic lawmakers in the U.S. Congress have decided to crack down on the prediction market space — including some prominent political figures, 30 people jointly support a new legislation with the core objective of prohibiting elected officials from gambling on politics-related bets in prediction markets.

How did this become such a big issue? The trigger was an account on Polymarket — someone went on a spending spree betting that Venezuela’s former president would be arrested, and actually made $400,000. Sounds a bit scary, doesn’t it? The market immediately erupted, with suspicions of insider trading flooding in.

To close this loophole, New York State Representative Rich Torres formally submitted the “Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026” on Friday. The name alone sounds pretty serious — the bill’s starting point is actually straightforward, just wanting to ensure that officials don’t use inside information to make money in prediction markets.

This move reflects a reality: prediction markets, while sounding cutting-edge, also carry significant risks from regulatory gaps. Based on the Polymarket incident, if there are no clear rules to constrain it, the advantage of information asymmetry can indeed be easily exploited. What happens next will depend on how the U.S. Congress balances innovation and risk.