Bitunix Analyst: PCE expectations remain flat, Trump's tariffs exacerbate inflation and growth concerns.

According to Mars Finance, on September 26, the US core PCE data to be released later today is expected to remain flat (monthly rate 0.3%, annual rate 2.9%), indicating that inflation is still within a controllable range. On the same day, Trump announced high tariffs of 25% to 100% on items such as trucks, furniture, and pharmaceuticals, effective from October 1. Although this move does not affect the current PCE, it may bring one-time inflationary pressure and deepen market concerns about economic slowdown. Overall, the Federal Reserve may turn conservative, and the market continues to bet on future interest rate cuts, resulting in the crypto market simultaneously enduring the dual emotions of "inflation hedging" and "risk assets under pressure." In the crypto market sector, the market has continued to decline this week, with BTC fluctuating around $109,000, while a key liquidity support is formed at $108,000. If it falls below this level, it will test the range of $106,000–$107,000; the upper range of $110,000–$112,000 is the concentration area for stop losses in long positions, and $116,000 is the main pressure point, which requires significant capital inflow to break through. Bitunix analysts suggest that the tariff effect will increase market uncertainty, and investor sentiment may fluctuate between "inflation warming" and "growth slowdown." Caution is needed in the short term, with support zones for BTC focusing on $108,000–$107,000, and pressure zones at $118,000 and $120,000. It is recommended to strictly control leverage, lay out in batches, and adhere to stop losses before and after data releases to cope with potential fluctuations.