ChainOpera AI (COAI) big dump 84%后现转机：Whale逆势增持暗示 121% Rebound行情

ChainOpera AI (COAI) has plummeted 84% from its peak on October 24, currently trading around $4.10, with a drop of 35.35% in the past 24 hours. However, on-chain data shows that Whales and smart money have increased their holdings during this period, with Holdings rising by 26.19% and 31.17% respectively. At the same time, the 4-hour RSI indicator has once again shown a hidden bullish divergence pattern that triggered a 479% big pump in October. The technical outlook suggests that if it holds the critical support at $3.97, COAI is expected to embark on a rebound journey towards the target price of $9.09, with a potential rise of 121%.

Whale and Smart Money Quietly Positioning: Contrarian Play in the Big Dump

In the market environment where COAI prices continue to fall, two key investor groups show completely different operating strategies. On-chain data clearly shows that Whale addresses and smart money steadily increase their holdings during the price big dump:

• Whale Holdings: increased by 26.19%, indicating that large investors recognize the current valuation level.
• Smart Money: rise 31.17%, indicating that professional investors are positioning for the expected Rebound.

This reverse investment behavior usually occurs in the market's phase bottom area, where savvy investors strategically build positions using market panic sentiment. Historical experience shows that when Whales and smart money increase their holdings simultaneously, it often indicates the approach of a short-term turning point.

It is worth noting that we previously accurately predicted that COAI would experience a 50% fall, while the actual decline later expanded to over 80%. The precise fulfillment of this prediction provides credibility support for the current analysis of signs of recovery.

Technical Patterns Reappear with Magical Signals: A Historical Reenactment of Hidden Bullish Divergence

(Source: TradingView)

The predictive value of the RSI divergence model

Technical indicators show that COAI is reproducing the technical pattern that triggered an astonishing rise in October. Between October 11 and October 20, the RSI formed lower lows while the price formed higher lows, creating a hidden bullish divergence pattern. This technical signal subsequently triggered a 479% big pump.

The current market is showing the same pattern again: between October 11 and October 28, the RSI has formed a hidden bullish divergence once more, while the price continues to maintain higher lows. The repeated occurrence of this pattern, combined with the accumulation behavior of large holders, strongly indicates that the market may be brewing another strong rebound.

Technical foundation for trend continuation

The hidden bullish divergence guided by RSI usually indicates the continuation of an upward trend. This judgment is particularly reasonable in the COAI case, as its price remains well above the listing starting level of $0.56, even after experiencing a significant pullback. The technical resilience provides a solid foundation for rebound expectations.

Key Price Levels and Long-Short Battle: $3.97 Becomes a Short-Term Lifeline

upward path and target estimation

From the 12-hour chart analysis, the COAI price is currently still holding above the key structural support of $3.97. As long as this level remains intact, the technical structure will support the short-term rebound prospects:

• Initial targets: $5.40 and $7.33 form a short-term reaction area, which may temporarily slow down the rise.
• Core Target: The key Fibonacci level around $9.09, representing a potential rise of 121% from the current price.
• Trend Confirmation: A breakout above $9.09 will re-establish momentum and confirm that the broader upward trend starting from the listing price of $0.56 remains intact.

Downside Risk and Support Analysis

If COAI loses the support at $3.97, bears may regain control, pushing the token to test the key support level at $2.15. This scenario would imply a failure of the current rebound expectations and could trigger further downward momentum.

Market Psychology Perspective: The Cycle of Fear and Greed

The current market performance of COAI provides a classic case for studying the psychology of the cryptocurrency market. After a big dump of 84% in price, ordinary investors generally fell into panic selling, while institutions and large holders saw value opportunities.

This divergence reflects the differences among market participants in terms of information acquisition, analytical ability, and emotional control. For ordinary investors, identifying this extreme state of market psychology and taking the opposite stance is often key to achieving excess returns.

Risk Warning and Investment Strategy: Uncertainty Behind Opportunities

potential risk factors

Investors need to fully understand the following risks when considering the rebound opportunity of COAI:

• Macroeconomic Environment: If the overall cryptocurrency market turns pessimistic, it may suppress the rebound momentum of individual tokens.
• Project Fundamentals: The actual technological progress and commercial implementation capability of ChainOpera AI remain to be verified.
• Liquidity Risk: Tokens with lower market capitalization may face abnormal volatility due to insufficient liquidity.

Rational investment advice

In light of the current situation of COAI, investors may consider the following strategies:

• Build positions in batches: Build positions in batches near key support levels to control single exposure risk.
• Strict Risk Control: Clearly set stop-loss levels, it is recommended to use 3.97 USD as the boundary line for long and short positions.
• Target Management: Consider taking partial profits at resistance levels such as $5.40 and $7.33.

Conclusion

ChainOpera AI is at a critical moment where technical and funding aspects are resonating. The extreme oversold condition after a big dump of 84%, combined with Whale accumulation and a classic setup of RSI hidden bullish divergence, has created an attractive risk-reward ratio.

History does not repeat itself simply, but it often rhymes. The identical technical setup in October triggered a nearly 5-fold big pump, and whether the current market will stage a similar scenario is worth close attention. For investors with a higher risk tolerance, the current price point may provide a rare layout opportunity.

However, the high volatility characteristics of the cryptocurrency market dictate that any investment decision must be accompanied by strict risk management. While anticipating a potential rise of 121%, it is essential to be prepared for the risk of a possible drop to $2.15. In this market interwoven with fear and greed, staying rational and adhering to discipline is always the golden rule for long-term survival.