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The upcoming non-farm payroll report from the United States will undoubtedly become a market barometer, and its results may trigger significant fluctuations in the financial markets.
Analysts predict that if new job creation is below 40,000 and the unemployment rate is between 3.9% and 4.1%, it could raise concerns about the health of the economy. In this scenario, investors may worry about slowing corporate hiring or layoffs, leading to a significant drop in the stock market, potentially falling to around 107,600 points. However, for long-term investors, the market correction may provide an opportunity to buy quality assets at a low price.
On the contrary, if the number of new jobs added is between 45,000 and 70,000, and the unemployment rate is between 4.1% and 4.2%, the market may see a general rise. Such data could be interpreted as a sign of economic stability, while also raising expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in the near future. In this scenario, the stock market might experience a surge, especially in technology and growth stocks that are sensitive to interest rate changes.
Analysts predict that the stock index may rise to around 116,000 points tonight, but some fluctuations may occur during the process, possibly showing a pattern of rising first, then falling, and then rising again.
However, regardless of short-term market fluctuations, the key for long-term investors is to grasp the core laws of the economic cycle: the economy always cycles through periods, declining after a rise and rising after a decline. Currently, it is most important to take advantage of the price fluctuations brought about by market sentiment to prepare for potential rebound trends in the future.
Investors should remain calm and focus on long-term trends rather than being swayed by short-term fluctuations. During market volatility, there may be some undervalued investment opportunities, especially in industries and companies with long-term growth potential. At the same time, investors should also pay attention to diversifying their investments and managing risks to cope with various market situations that may arise.