The "probability of Monad's airdrop before the end of October" on Polymarket has dropped to 47%, after Monad's official hint that "the airdrop is near."

On October 9th, despite Monad's official confirmation yesterday that the "Airdrop is near" (loading progress 98%). However, the probability of this event on Polymarket shows that the probability of Monad issuing the airdrop before the end of October continues to decline, having fallen to 47%, while the probability of issuing the airdrop before the end of November has increased to 96%.