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Details: https://www.gate.com/zh-tw/announcements/article/47455
The probability of "Trump winning the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize" on Polymarket is currently reported at 3%.
On October 10, according to data from the Polymarket website, the probability of "Trump winning the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize" on that platform has dropped to 3%, while the probability of "María Corina Machado winning the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize" has risen to 69%.