Bitcoin compared to gold: If market cap catches up, one BTC could reach $1.94 million?

2026-01-29 11:41:23

January 29 News, as global capital continues to seek new stores of value, the comparison between Bitcoin and gold has once again sparked heated discussion. Currently, the total market value of gold is close to $38.8 trillion, while Bitcoin’s market cap is about $1.76 trillion, a difference of approximately 22 times. This does not mean Bitcoin is at a disadvantage; rather, it shows that Bitcoin is still in the early adoption stage and has greater growth potential.

If Bitcoin’s market cap were to equal that of gold, based on the current circulating supply, its price would be close to $1,944,500. Since the total supply of Bitcoin is permanently capped at 21 million coins and cannot be increased due to rising demand, all new demand will be directly reflected in the price. This mechanism contrasts sharply with gold: although gold is scarce, new quantities are still mined each year.

The sources of “scarcity” for the two assets differ. Gold relies on natural resources and mining costs, while Bitcoin is secured by code, with its issuance rate gradually decreasing until it reaches zero. This structure gives Bitcoin a stronger supply rigidity in the long term.

In addition to its scarcity attribute, Bitcoin also demonstrates differences at the functional level. It can be transferred quickly worldwide, requires no intermediaries, and is verifiable on-chain, with settlement efficiency far higher than physical gold. For this reason, more and more young investors and institutions are beginning to see it as a store of value in the digital age.

In terms of adoption progress, gold has long been embedded in national reserves and financial systems, while Bitcoin is still in the expansion phase. The emergence of ETFs, corporate allocations, and government discussions are gradually increasing its influence. Because Bitcoin’s market size is still small, even a small inflow of funds from the gold market could significantly boost its price.

Gold has a history spanning thousands of years, while Bitcoin has only been around for a little over a decade. The time gap explains the current valuation gap and also hints at future potential. As infrastructure improves and trust accumulates, Bitcoin may continue to close the gap with gold.

BTC-6.35%

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