September 18 Market Daily Report

1. Core Information on Interest Rate Cuts

On September 17, local time, the Federal Reserve concluded its monetary policy meeting, announcing a 25 basis point rate cut, adjusting the federal funds rate target range to 4.00%-4.25%, in line with market expectations. The dot plot indicates another rate cut expected in October and December this year, with two rate cuts projected in 2026 and one in 2027. This rate cut marks the Federal Reserve's first action since December of last year, and the market still has short-term speculative space based on rate cut e

Market Daily Report (September 11)

1. Core Market

1. Bitcoin: Breakthrough the range of $101,000 - $112,000, stabilize at the key resistance level of $112,500, next target is $117,500, with a short-term goal of $120,000.
2. Ethereum: Weakened by ETF selling pressure and staking withdrawal queues, currently encountering resistance around $4440; if it stabilizes at this position, subsequent targets are $4490, $4650, and $4800, with $4300 providing effective support.
3. Altcoins: As the overall market remains stable and shows signs of movement, the staking sector is climbing the leaderboard.

September 1 Market Daily Report

1. Core Dynamics

- Expectations for interest rate cuts in September are rising. Last year, rate cuts during the same period drove Bitcoin to rise for three consecutive months. Currently, Bitcoin and Ethereum are reaching new highs supported by ETFs and institutional reserves, while most altcoins are at low positions. However, altcoin ETFs may be approved in the next two months, and the outbreak period is approaching.
- Tonight, wlfi spot will be listed on top exchanges, receiving attention equivalent to CPI and non-farm data, becoming an important bridge for

August 28 Market Daily Report

Core Turnover Dynamics

- Staking market sets a record: over 1 million coins (450 million USD) exited staking, with nearly 750,000 waiting to enter, both hitting all-time highs. The intense long and short battles among institutions have become the main reason for the recent high volatility.
- Turnover characteristics: A withdrawal of 1 million tokens will create continuous selling pressure, while the funds queued to enter (such as institutional investors like Ethereum MicroStrategy) are optimistic in the long term, with an average staking cost exceeding $4000.

Analysis summary of the current bull run alt season

1. Current Market Stage Assessment

The current market is in the second round phase, with Bitcoin taking the lead, and from June, the focus shifts to Ethereum. According to past patterns, in the third phase, large-cap valuable altcoins will show signs of activity, and only in the final phase will nameless altcoins surge (the prelude to a bubble collapse). Currently, we have not yet entered the third phase of a general rise in altcoins.

2. Alt Season Logic and Opportunities

(1) Capital migration path

ETH's market share is increasing,

August 23 Market Daily Report

1. Ethereum: Refreshing Historical Highs

(1) Price Performance

- Yesterday it fluctuated in the $4200 range, today it rose to a maximum of $4887, setting a new historical high.
- Market capitalization of approximately 500 billion USD, with a rise of 20% in just a few hours.

(2) Driving Factors

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell released dovish signals in his speech at Jackson Hole, with the market expecting a more than 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut next month, becoming a direct driver of the price surge.

(3) Market Analysis

- The characte

August 22 Market Daily Report

Core theme: Jackson Hole annual meeting sets the tone for September interest rate cut expectations, tonight marks a key turning point in the market.

1. Core Event: Macro Policy Direction at 10 PM Tonight

- Event: The Jackson Hole annual conference is held, and Powell will speak at 10 o'clock.
- Core content of the speech: Focus on interest rate cuts, policy review, inflation concerns, labor market, and political pressure.
- Key impact: Directly related to the probability of a rate cut in September (over 90% last week, down to 71% this week), which will indir

Market Daily Report for August 21

1. Core Events

Kanye's coin YZY: The total market value reached a maximum of 3 billion USD upon launch, currently has 1 billion USD left, and the circulating market value is low, being accused of using fame to raise money. Due to past market experiences, it did not trigger significant fluctuations, indicating that such tokens may experience long-term declines.

2. Market Core

- Ethereum: $4100 support regained, currently stable above $4250, has not yet broken through $4400, in a period of fluctuation.
- Conflicting market signals: Moving averages show a

August 20 Market Daily Report
Staying Strong During the Pullback - Seizing Opportunities in the Second Half of the Year

1. Core Market Conditions of the Day

- Ethereum has shown significant volatility, briefly falling below $4100 before rebounding. In the short term, it needs to hold above $4100 to meet expectations.
- The hourly level is still in a downtrend, with weak support at 4100 USD and strong support around 3600 USD. If the downtrend continues, 4000 USD may be breached; a rebound must stabilize above 4400 USD to break the retracement trend, with short-term bears in control.

2. Ma

August 19 Market Daily Report

I. Overview of the Market Trend

- Today, Ethereum continues to oscillate, with high volatility on the hourly chart over the past 24 hours. The support at 4200 points has not been effectively broken, maintaining a range-bound oscillation, consistent with previous assessments.
- Short-term expectation: continue to hover around for about a week, with the possibility of a spike down breaking support, but it will not significantly drop below 4000 points.
- Medium to long-term goal: After oscillating to accumulate positions and dissipating short-term bullish sentime

August 18 Market Daily Report

Market Daily: Respond Rationally to Volatility, Stick to Quality Targets

1. Core Market Dynamics

- Significant capital turnover: The weekend profit-taking by whales triggered market turnover, with listed companies absorbing the selling pressure, raising the average cost in the market, and long-term expectations improving.
- Key data changes: MicroStrategy hints at another increase in Bitcoin holdings; the number of Ethereum staking validators exiting the queue continues to rise, with the amount waiting to be sold approaching 600,000 ETH, facing significant s

Market Report for August 16

1. Core Judgment of ETH Market

ETH is currently facing the biggest test of this main upward wave, influenced by the pressure from historical peaks, with a low probability of a strong breakout in the short term. If it fails to return to the 4800 level in the next two days to attempt a breakthrough, it may face 1-2 weeks or even longer of sideways accumulation.

2. External Environment and Cycle Support

- Trump's meeting with Putin may ease local conflicts, which is positive for risk assets;
- The daily trend of the US stock market is normal, the previous sharp

August 15 Market Daily Report
A pullback before interest rate cuts presents an opportunity, with altcoins focusing on two major directions.

1. Market Performance

- Yesterday: ETH fell from a recent high of 4788 to 4450, with a manageable decline; altcoins generally dropped about 10%, with no significant panic.
- Today: ETH and doge, ltc, uni, etc. quickly repaired their declines, highlighting the scarcity of low-priced chips, which need to be cherished.

2. Causes of the Decline

1. Bessenet's contradictory statement: Initially claimed not to purchase and seize assets, later changed to e

Market Daily Report for August 13

1. Ethereum Performance

- The price has broken through $4700, just $100 away from the historical high, and listed companies continue to increase their purchases (such as BMNR planning to issue $20 billion for acquisition).
- The liquidity and sentiment are good. This round of increase involves real capital entering the market, which is different from the leveraged speculation in 2021, and there is significant room for growth.
- ETH/BTC has rebounded above 0.0387, with institutions being optimistic. The inflow of funds into Ethereum ETFs far exceeds that of