The market has entered the stage where those who buy the dip will die.
The main players are more panicked than retail investors.
In the first half, the main force is in a panic and doesn't know where to go.
A state of being so scared that even the K-line patterns don't matter.
The latter half is littered with retail investors.
Short again after the rebound
btc does not fall below 70000
eth does not drop below 2500
Not considering buying the dip or going long at all.
Even seizing a rebound is a high-risk matter.
will reappear in the next month
312

eth is unlikely to reach 5000 now. Tomorrow is the 15th. There have been quite a few altcoin performances in the past half month. It's time to enter the phase of closing all positions in batches. After the 15th, it basically enters a phase of mindlessly shorting.

If ETH breaks 5000 in the next few days, there will be an altcoin bull run for about a month and a half.

Now let's see if ETH can break out of the last wave of the extended main rise market. If it can, we can only comfort ourselves at 4700, directly seeing 5600-6500, and the extreme possibility may hit 7200.

Correcting a viewpoint: The previous analysis of the big dump and bear market was based on BTC. Specifically for ETH and other altcoins, if ETH can reach a new high, there will be one last crazy movement. The target is above 6500. However, if it can't rebound above 4800 and then drops down, the highest point will be in the range of 4750-4950. But after September 15th, the unwavering stance of looking bearish remains. There is still half a month of continuation for long positions.

In recent years, I have rarely posted on Gate. Occasionally, I write a few sentences because I know some old fans have been following closely, so I want to hint at the major strategic direction during significant moments. This is the situation we are facing now, and my level is quite high; it's not something that can be covered in five minutes or even one hour. What I say is generally effective for 3-6 months or even over a year. The reason I write so much is to remind everyone not to be misled by the mob and to view the market's development rationally.
Even if I am wrong, providing another pe

Summarize the market situation for the next 2-3 years:
1. I am not saying that BTC and ETH won't continue to reach new highs and break upwards; in fact, I have already seen BTC above 250,000 U and ETH at 30,000 U; prices do not just keep rising all at once, and there have been many ups and downs along the way;
2. The bull market I mentioned has ended, this current wave has already peaked for BTC half a month ago (if constructed well, there might be another month to form a larger double top), and as mentioned in point 1, the result of the next bull market will be BTC at 250,000 and ETH at 30,00

The bull run top of Bitcoin has long been reached, and now ETH is barely supporting at a high point, with the goal of providing cover for BTC to dump and set up short orders.
A series of black swan events will occur from September to October:
The US stock market has crashed, both stocks and bonds have been hit hard, the crypto world faces a 312 event, and the North and South Koreas stand firm.

The post I made on the evening of August 12 is hoping that someone will see it within the next three days and start to reduce position.
Currently, the highest position is around 4790.
The subsequent market trends are the construction of a bull market top.
The real bear market hasn't arrived yet.
September is definitely going to be a month of sharp decline.

It should have peaked.

4.22: I said: the bull run has arrived.
7.11: Looking back at the value of the posts two and a half months later.

The bull run is here!

Today's pullback was expected, belonging to the wide fluctuation of the bottom-building range. It can also be considered as a whipsaw before another rebound. A significant market rally, defined as an increase of over 50%, is expected after May. However, the Spot bought during the dip can still be held. Short-term contracts can be used to play with the fluctuations, which I emphasized in my post a few days ago.
Get familiar with the market rhythm now in April.
May is the real time to pull the trigger.

Did you enter a position for tonight's launch pump?

How does it feel to buy the dip?

2025.3.31
btc: 81500
eth:1800
Low amplitude fluctuations for 1-2 months
The possibility of breaking new lows cannot be ruled out.
But this price is already very nice.
Started bottom fishing for spot.
The contract can be traded for short to medium term in April.
There will be market trends after May.

Start buying the dip!

Long time no see

Finished