Don't use end-of-day strategies in the prediction market, okay?

I believe that the prediction market will be the main narrative in the crypto space for the next 6 months, and it definitely has the potential to explode just like the Meme market from the end of 2024 to the beginning of 2025.

I will personally bet on this and delve deeper into it in the coming time.

Although @Polymarket has been around for a long time, most people in this market are still starting from scratch, which creates unequal advantages. Mastering it and becoming an expert can lead to profit.

The end-of-day strategy is one of the "no-risk polymarket" strategies recommended by many KOLs before, which means only betting on outcomes with a probability greater than 95% or even 99%, capturing the last few points of profit.

But I think 99% of KOLs recommending retail investors to implement end-of-day strategies do not understand prediction markets.

In the past 10 days, I have deeply implemented the closing strategy myself, while also using an AI agent to execute the closing strategy as a control group.

The final result is a win rate of 95%, but the account is still at a loss.

The core reason lies in the fact that the speed of cumulative losses from the end-of-day strategy is much faster than the speed of cumulative income.

Even with setting up split bets, the AI bets 5% of the principal each time. Although in most cases it will make a profit of 1%, once a loss occurs, the AI needs to bet continuously on the last trade and win 103 times in a row to recover the original 5% loss.

However, in reality, due to frequent betting, AI encountered a "black swan" again in these 103 times, but the probability is extremely high.

Therefore, the end-of-day strategy is a foolish strategy that only allows for wins and bets big to win small.

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Recently, @Polyinsiders launched the feature to follow the insider address of polymarket.

It is important to know that there may be insider trading on certain predicted events, such as the day when moand will have its TGE, what clothes Zelensky will wear to the conference, and even whether the Federal Reserve will announce a rate cut at the meeting.

For ordinary users, it's really better to "follow" than to have "insight."

After falling into the trap of the tail-end trading strategy, I will next deeply engage in tracking the strategy to see if the smart money on Polymarket is truly feasible.

btw, @Polyinsiders is a newly launched tool for analyzing and monitoring insider/smart addresses on Polymarket.

I'm not advertising for them, but they recently launched the "Mouth Lick" activity, with a chance to win 3 months of free Pro membership.

Look at me, I really want to experience it 😄 @MrRyanChi

#预测平台 #Polymarket