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Don't remind me again today

#美SEC推动加密创新监管 The market data in the past two days has stabilized significantly compared to last week. Although it hasn't continued to push upwards, the ability to hold steady after a rebound is a positive signal in itself - at least it indicates that the recovery trend is still ongoing. $BTC is currently repeatedly confirming support around 90,000, while $ETH is testing around the 3,000 line back and forth. From a structural perspective, the next wave of fluctuations will likely have a downward movement, but as long as the previous low of 80,000 holds, even if it undergoes a second or third test, it is just a routine bottoming process.



Today I saw some not-so-good news — regulatory authorities have once again stated that they will continue to closely monitor crypto-related activities. In fact, there have been quite a few instances of industry conferences being canceled recently, which also serves as indirect confirmation. To be realistic, in this economic environment, it's basically unlikely to expect a large influx of domestic funds to push the market up. The performance of altcoins in this round has been weak, and besides the varying quality of the projects themselves, a more critical issue is that there are too few new users, and the incremental funds cannot keep up. Hot topics arise quickly but cool off just as fast. This is a common situation that everyone will face in the coming months.

The market is struggling for another reason: there is truly a lack of sufficient hard new narratives within the community. Recently, a certain mainstream public chain attempted to reactivate its ecosystem. Although it did bring forth a few short-term hotspots, the overall continuity is weak. On the contrary, the concept of "stock tokens" is being tried by more and more platforms. Recently, some trading platforms have already launched stock token trading functions. If this track can really take off, it would be a significant breakthrough for the entire crypto market.

Let's talk about the stock and currency issue again: it generally falls under the category of RWA (Real World Assets on the blockchain). Currently, liquidity is still relatively limited, and the custody model also requires more time to build trust. However, from a more macro perspective, the advancement of RWA and interest rate market businesses actually indicates that the underlying architecture of DeFi is continuously improving. Although this road is slow, the direction is correct.

$ZEC has shown fluctuations recently that are worth paying attention to. However, at this position, we still need to patiently wait for the right entry opportunity.
BTC-1.1%
ETH-0.19%
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just_vibin_onchainvip
· 12-01 10:23
When the regulation tightens, the market just has to move sideways; I'm tired of seeing this trap.
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GasOptimizervip
· 12-01 07:02
Data speaks - I roughly calculated the probability of not being able to hold the 80,000 line, and based on the historical pullback frequency, it is still relatively high. This regulatory situation was actually anticipated; when the incremental funds are stuck, it means the arbitrage space is severely compressed, and the liquidity of alts is even worse. The RWA direction is correct, but the cost of trust in custody is too high, making it difficult to optimize the fee model in the short term. ZEC is indeed worth tracking, but we need to wait for the fluctuation range to be clarified before entering a position.
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PumpStrategistvip
· 11-29 11:00
I am optimistic about the stock coin sector, but to be honest – the current liquidity is just like this, and there aren't enough suckers willing to catch a falling knife. As for the regulatory side, well, domestic funds can't come in anyway, so the market relies on overseas players to support it. Not holding the 80,000 defense line is the real trouble. ZEC is indeed interesting, but if you enter at this price level, you need to be prepared for a 50% Slump. I suggest waiting a bit longer. Projects with highly concentrated chips often perform the strongest but also die the fastest. Looking at the Candlestick patterns, it's a typical "short-term hot spot" routine. RWA is truly the future, but to speak from the heart – those entering the market now are likely here to catch a falling knife for those coming in later. If ETH breaks the 3,000 line, the technical support will be gone, so don't fantasize about a V-shaped reversal. Isn't the market struggling because there are no stories to tell? Without new narratives, there’s no new money, which is very normal.
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StablecoinGuardianvip
· 11-29 10:59
Regulation has tightened again, and it's really hard to see any increase under this environmental market.
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0xSoullessvip
· 11-29 10:58
Regulation is tightening, meetings are being canceled, and there aren't enough new suckers... how is this game supposed to be played, haha --- Can that stock coin really rise? To put it bluntly, it's more likely just inflated air --- If it can't hold 80,000, I'm really done for --- Every time they say the direction of RWA is right, yet they still indulge themselves while playing people for suckers --- BTC 90,000 keeps confirming support, but I see it as just "confirming retail investors' stop loss" repeatedly --- Incremental funds can't keep up, and things cool off quickly... isn't this the true portrayal of the crypto world? --- Do you dare to boast about stock tokenization? Wake up, local funds can't even get in --- I believe you when you say DeFi's structure is perfect, but I haven't seen any solid narrative in the past two years --- Waiting for the right opportunity to get on board? Dude, the opportunity is that moment when it falls even deeper.
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UncommonNPCvip
· 11-29 10:52
When regulation tightens, the market suffers, and we can't expect much from local funds. This situation is likely to continue for the next few months.
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FarmHoppervip
· 11-29 10:45
Regulators are going to "keep a close eye" again, I'm tired of hearing this line. The key is still when local funds can really come in. RWA in this area is indeed worth following, but the speed is too slow, we need to be patient. If the crucial support at 80,000 breaks, the second and third tests will look bad. Altcoins are now hot quickly, but cool down just as fast, newcomers are just here to deliver. The stock-coin concept is good, but Liquidity in this area is still a bottleneck, let's wait and see. ZEC has been moving erratically lately, it's not a good time to enter a position.
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