#成长值抽奖赢iPhone17和周边 Bitcoin short-term analysis and strategy

Market Overview

Fluctuating around $90,000–$92,000, the latest price is approximately $90,885, with intraday highs/lows of $91,055/$90,471 and a volatility of 0.64%. The short-term momentum is neutral; resistance is encountered at MA20 92,709 and MA30 96,937, while the immediate support is at MA10 88,260. In the derivatives market, the maximum pain point of options has shifted upward; over the next 7 days, the liquidation of long positions during a decline is stronger, and the liquidation of short positions during a rise over 30 days is stronger, potentially amplifying intraday volatility.

Key levels and scenarios

Resistance: 91,500 → 92,000 → 93,500; Support: 90,000 → 89,000 → 88,260. Upside: If it successfully holds above 91,500, look for 92,000/93,500; Downside: If it effectively breaks below 90,000 and does not return, target 89,000/88,260.

Strategy 1 Minute Execution Version

- Range: Buy on pullback at 89,800–90,200, stop loss at 89,000, target at 91,200/91,500; Short on rebound at 91,500–91,800, stop loss at 92,000, target at 90,800/90,200.
- Breakthrough: A 15-minute volume breakout above and a pullback that does not break 91,500 to go long, stop loss at 91,200, target at 92,000/93,500; if it breaks below 90,000 and the pullback does not return, go short, stop loss at 90,300, target at 89,000/88,260.
- Risk control: Single transaction risk ≤1%-2%, strict stop-loss and partial take-profit; weekend liquidity is relatively low, reduce position to prevent slippage.

Risk

The expectation of interest rate cuts in December is rising, which is positive. However, the SEC meeting on December 4 and options settlement may resonate, making false breakouts likely. If 91,500 continues to be unbroken or if there is a net outflow from ETFs, be cautious of a pullback; if 88,260 is lost, it may accelerate the decline.

Disclaimer

The above is a sharing of market information and trading methodology, and does not constitute investment advice; cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile, please make decisions cautiously based on your own risk tolerance. #十二月降息预测