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Don't remind me again today

#数字货币市场回升 January has passed just like that, the market gave us a harsh lesson.



This wave of selling is quite severe, with BTC dropping all the way down to around 80600 before stabilizing, and ETH even touching 2618—signals had actually been quite clear as early as when it broke key integer levels. The waterfall is seen daily, leaving people feeling anxious.

However, this week has seen a rebound and repair, with back-and-forth tug-of-war between bulls and bears, causing quite a shake. I have executed 18 trades in the real market, with BTC earning a profit of 13,418 points and ETH also gaining 421 points. To be honest, the volatile period is actually a good opportunity; it just depends on who can position themselves well in advance.

The market is still in the recovery phase, and the direction for bulls and bears is not very clear, but the bearish sentiment is becoming stronger. Before the interest rate cut in December, it is highly likely that there will be another round of slight consolidation, so it is advised to avoid overtrading in short-term operations.

From a technical perspective: The monthly line shows that BTC has rebounded but has not even maintained the middle track support. The short-term correction may be nearing its end, and the continuation of the decline is strengthening. The weekly bearish pattern has not changed, and the MACD death cross is still present. The strategy is to continue shorting on rebounds at high points.

Price reference: BTC first looks at 87000, if it breaks, it will aim for 80000; ETH first looks at 2850, if it breaks, the target is 2600.

Fluctuation and correction are the norm; the key is not to be carried away by emotions.
BTC7.48%
ETH9.32%
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BrokenDAOvip
· 11-30 19:15
The logic of this "shorting at highs" sounds quite refreshing, but in reality, it's just betting that the short positions will remain unchanged—however, the problem lies in the fact that the market's Consensus itself is the biggest Liquidity Trap. Once everyone participating in this game has figured out the same pattern, reflexivity will backfire.
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WhaleMinionvip
· 11-30 19:05
I really can't hold it anymore, another wave of big whipsaw, my orders almost disappeared completely. It was really nerve-wracking that the 80600 level held firm, only then did I breathe a sigh of relief. When ETH fell to 2618, I almost lost my mind; it's only been in the past few days that I've been able to recover with this rebound. To be honest, this kind of volatile market actually requires more experience. Those who can find the right positions will laugh last. I made some gains this week, but I'm still far behind those who set up their positions early. The short positions signal is becoming more and more obvious, but there may still be small reversals before December. For short-term trading, we still need to be cautious and not be greedy.
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OnchainUndercovervip
· 11-30 19:01
80600 At that time, I was also in a state of explosion. Now that it's rebounded, I'm starting to be afraid to take a Heavy Position again. I really got scared from being washed out. I agree with the saying that short-term trading shouldn't be about fighting, but it still feels easy to get trapped. If BTC87000 breaks, does it really need to go to 80000? This psychological preparation needs to be done well. If the short positions pattern hasn't changed, then let's not act recklessly. Let's continue to observe, brother. It sounds simple to short on the rebound at high points, but the actual operation is quite challenging. I will wait for clearer signals.
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BearHuggervip
· 11-30 18:57
Well, it's another round of Whipsaw and Be Played for Suckers rhythm. I see your order is following quite smoothly.
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