BTC Market Outlook and Strategy for Tomorrow

Market Overview

Risk appetite weakened at the start of December. Bitcoin retreated from its October high of around $126,251 to the $83,000–$87,000 range, briefly dropping to $83,824 intraday. Approximately $1 billion in positions were liquidated across the market in the past 24 hours, indicating risk-off sentiment. Institutions are focusing on the key $80,000 support; if this level fails, watch for support in the $75,000–$78,000 range.

Technical Levels and Triggers

Upside resistance: $90,000 / $93,300–$95,000 / $98,000–$99,000; Downside support: $86,000–$85,500 / $83,000 / $80,000. If price recovers and holds above $90,000 on increased volume, the rebound may continue; conversely, a break below $85,000 would open further downside.

Strategy and Risk Management

- Range Trading: Try light long positions at $86,500–$87,500, stop loss at $85,000; target $90,000 / $93,000. Reduce positions at $92,800–$93,500 on rebound, re-enter if breakout continues.
- Breakout Following: If the 15-minute candle closes effectively above $90,000 with increased volume, chase longs with stop loss at $88,800, target $93,300 / $95,000.
- Breakdown Defense: If price breaks below $85,000, switch to light short positions, stop loss at $86,200, target $83,000; if $83,000 is broken again, target $80,000, take profit in batches.
- Position Sizing and Risk: Single trade ≤10% of capital, total position ≤30%; strictly adhere to stop loss, avoid chasing highs or bottom fishing without confirmation.

Risk Warning

Crypto assets are highly volatile. The above is for market analysis and trading ideas only and does not constitute investment advice. Please participate cautiously and according to your own risk tolerance.