Market's pricing in some serious dovish vibes right now. Latest fed funds futures showing 94% probability for a 25 basis point cut at next week's FOMC meeting. That's up from around 85% just days ago.
If this plays out, we're looking at potential liquidity injection hitting markets. Rate cuts typically weaken the dollar and push investors toward riskier assets. Crypto usually catches that wave when traditional safe havens lose their appeal.
Timing couldn't be more critical with current macro uncertainty. Eyes on Powell's press conference – his tone matters just as much as the decision itself. Any hints about the cutting cycle's trajectory could trigger significant moves across digital assets.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
17 Likes
Reward
17
5
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
ProbablyNothing
· 12-07 06:30
94% already? Powell might really loosen up this time, and the dollar is in trouble.
If the rate cut actually happens, how long can this wave of liquidity last? Or is it just another round of harvesting?
Just hearing this, you know there will be major volatility. Better take it easy this weekend.
A rate cut might just be another trap; we've been played so many times before.
This logic is overused in crypto—liquidity comes fast and goes just as quickly.
One pause in Powell's speech can crash the market, his words are sharp as a knife.
Feels like this dovish expectation has already been priced in, is it time for a contrarian move?
If they really cut 25bp, I want to see if BTC can break out.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-9f682d4c
· 12-04 07:01
With a 94% probability, it feels like another wave is coming.
View OriginalReply0
AirdropHuntress
· 12-04 06:54
I'm a bit skeptical about this 94% probability. Historical data shows that such extreme probabilities often get broken. Don't be too greedy, everyone.
Futures and spot markets are two different things. If Powell changes his tone, the market could crash instantly. Pay attention to this risk.
Rate cuts are indeed coming, but whether the crypto market can handle it is another story. This looks like yet another show staged by capital.
View OriginalReply0
ruggedNotShrugged
· 12-04 06:50
With a 94% probability, it's really going to be a rate cut this time, right? My BTC has been ready for action for a while now.
That guy Powell can decide our fate with just one sentence, it's honestly ridiculous.
When liquidity comes, the crypto world feasts, and shorts are probably going to cry.
A rate cut means the dollar depreciates and money flows into risk assets, you get it, right?
If there's a plunge this time, I'll dump my holdings right away—it's too intense, I can't take it.
View OriginalReply0
MrRightClick
· 12-04 06:33
94% probability... Feels like the market has already locked in the rate cut, just waiting for Powell to make it official.
---
Dollar will fall, BTC will rise—I've heard this logic too many times, and it's always half true, half false.
---
The key is still what Powell says; a single sentence can change everything, really.
---
Liquidity coming in is a good thing, but how long can it last this time...
---
The rate cut cycle is here, but will it just be another false rally this time?
---
So is this a signal to enter the market now, or has it already been priced in?
Market's pricing in some serious dovish vibes right now. Latest fed funds futures showing 94% probability for a 25 basis point cut at next week's FOMC meeting. That's up from around 85% just days ago.
If this plays out, we're looking at potential liquidity injection hitting markets. Rate cuts typically weaken the dollar and push investors toward riskier assets. Crypto usually catches that wave when traditional safe havens lose their appeal.
Timing couldn't be more critical with current macro uncertainty. Eyes on Powell's press conference – his tone matters just as much as the decision itself. Any hints about the cutting cycle's trajectory could trigger significant moves across digital assets.