In this circle, survival is more important than anything else. You wouldn’t want to wait for the bull market to arrive, only to find out you’ve already exited the market with an empty portfolio, right?

I’m 35 now and started buying crypto at 24. From 2021 to 2023, my assets reached eight figures. Honestly, compared to those 80s-born entrepreneurs doing real business or e-commerce, my life has been much easier.

After all these years of ups and downs, there are a few lessons I still stick to:

BTC is the baton of the entire market—there’s no debate about it. ETH occasionally stands out and has its own independent trends, but the other 99% of coins? They basically follow BTC’s lead.

BTC and USDT move in opposite directions. When USDT price spikes, you’d better be careful—BTC might be about to drop. Conversely, when BTC is pumping, moving to USDT can be a good strategy.

Between midnight and 1 a.m. is the most likely time for sudden price wicks. So before bed, I always set up buy-low and sell-high orders in advance, and just let the system execute while I sleep. Sometimes, I wake up in the morning and see the orders filled.

From 6 a.m. to 8 a.m., I focus on this period to judge the day’s trend. The logic is simple: if the market has been dropping from midnight to 6 a.m. and is still dropping during this window, it’ll most likely rebound during the day—it’s a good time to enter or add to your position. If it’s been rising all night and continues to rise in the morning, there’s a high chance of a pullback during the day, so it’s time to consider exiting.

Pay special attention at 5 p.m. because of the time difference—the Americans are just waking up and starting to trade. Sometimes you’ll see rapid pumps or dumps at this time.

As for “Black Friday,” it’s not total nonsense—there have indeed been a few major Friday crashes in history, but it’s not always accurate. Treat it as a supplementary signal, not your main logic.

For coins with good liquidity and enough trading volume—unless they’ve turned into trash—don’t panic when they drop. I’ve been through it too many times: the short ones recover in 3 to 4 days, the long ones at most a month. If you have spare USDT on hand, average down in batches—it usually bounces back pretty quickly. If you don’t, just wait patiently.

With spot trading, the less you mess around, the more you make. For the same coin, frequent short-term trading often makes less than simply holding.