#ETH走势分析 Been dabbling for over a year and still losing money? Don’t rush to delete the app yet—the problem might not be your luck.

I’ve seen plenty of people with accounts under 200,000 who try to go all-in every time they open a position. But the market doesn’t play by the rules—if you can catch just one real bull run a year, that’s enough to break even or even double your money. Chasing every surge and dip daily? That’ll just drain your focus and grind your capital to dust.

What’s worse, a lot of people kill it in paper trading, switching between long and short with ease. But when it comes to real trading, they panic and go all-in without leaving themselves any exit. Blow up your paper account a hundred times, and you just start over; blow up your real account once, and you might be packing your bags for good. Trading instincts aren’t honed on paper—they’re sharpened in real money trades.

Here’s another pitfall—positive news.

The most common retail mistake: clinging to a position the moment you hear good news. Usually, prices spike the day the news hits, then start to pull back the next day. While you’re waiting for a higher price, the smart money has already exited. Don’t sell at the open after a gap up? That’s just setting yourself up to be the last one holding the bag.

Holidays are another danger zone. The historical data is clear: reducing your position before holidays is the safe play. Don’t exit early? Then you’ll be the one left holding the bag for others.

If you’re trading mid-term, I’ll say just three words: keep rolling trades. Sell in batches when it rises, buy back in batches when it drops, and always keep some cash on hand. This flexible approach beats holding forever by a mile. For short-term trades, it’s even simpler—just watch the coins with activity, and ignore the dead ones—they’re probably landmines.

Timing is far more important than direction. Slow rises and slow drops usually mean accumulation or distribution phases; after a sharp drop, there’s often a fierce rebound. If you can catch this rhythm, you’ll know when to enter and when to sit out.

There’s also a golden rule that most people never learn: admit your mistakes immediately. Holding and hoping isn’t gutsy—it’s reckless. Your capital is your only lifeline in this market; protect it if you want a shot at a comeback.

Don’t overcomplicate technical indicators—a 15-minute chart with KDJ is enough for most situations.

In the end, it’s never the most knowledgeable people who make money in this game, but those who master their strategy to perfection. Sharpen your edge, and when opportunity comes, you’ll be ready to strike.

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