2025-12-08 07:23:14

CME's latest data is wild—88.4% chance of a rate cut this December. Three days out from the meeting, and markets are basically pricing it in as a done deal.

This kind of certainty? It's already moving money. Both equities and crypto are reacting like the cut's locked. If the Fed actually delivers, we could see some serious momentum shifts across risk assets.

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probably_nothing_anon

· 12-10 11:39

88 is confirmed, I've already jumped on the train haha

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ProbablyNothing

· 12-08 17:18

88.4%... To be honest, that's a bit shaky. Feels like the market is gambling. Is a rate cut really a sure thing? What if the Fed suddenly turns hawkish? What about the people going all in now? The capital flow is indeed crazy, but that's exactly when it's most dangerous. Wait, why isn't this probability 100%? That means there are still uncertainties, so don't be too confident, everyone. Crypto and stocks are both going up, feels a bit too good to be true...

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BearMarketBro

· 12-08 10:20

88% probability? Uh, that means the market is gambling, right? Feels a bit risky.

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Deconstructionist

· 12-08 07:53

88%? That probability is almost 100, there's no suspense at all. The funds have already been placed.

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AlwaysMissingTops

· 12-08 07:52

88.4%? To put it bluntly, the Fed really has no choice left—everyone’s money has already left early, haha.

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BankruptWorker

· 12-08 07:47

With an 88% probability, it feels like the Fed has no choice left. A rate cut is a sure thing; now it’s just a matter of how big it will be. Funds have long started bottom-fishing; those who get in late will lose money. I’ve bet on this round of the market; bankruptcy is coming.

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MeltdownSurvivalist

· 12-08 07:43

88.4%? Come on, that number looks really nice, but we all know what's going to happen... If the rate cut falls through, these believers will be crying their eyes out. Half the funds have already pulled out—those who only react on the announcement day are all newbies.

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NFT_Therapy

· 12-08 07:42

88.4%? Come on, could that number be any more ridiculous? When the market is this certain, that's when I'm the most worried. Honestly, the funds have already flowed in long ago. If the Fed actually pulls a reversal on that day, things will get interesting. Just waiting to see what happens—after all, that's how the crypto world is. One rumor and everything goes haywire.

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