#FedRateCutPrediction

Fellow Gate.io Traders and Crypto Community! I'm Alex, and the biggest macroeconomic event of the year is upon us.

The Federal Reserve's final rate decision for 2025 is today, and the volatility is already palpable. This is not the time to be a spectator—it's time to trade the data!

FED RATE CUT IMMINENT? 96% CONFIRMED!

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The market has spoken, and the consensus is overwhelming. All eyes are on the FOMC announcement at **2:00 PM ET (3:00 AM UTC+8, Thursday)**, followed immediately by Chair Powell’s press conference.

### **📊 My Rate Cut Prediction & Analysis**

My research, supported by prediction markets, is crystal clear:

1. **Prediction:** The Fed will announce a **25 basis points (bps) rate cut**. The probability of this happening is currently **96.0%**.

2. **The "Why":** This is expected to be the third consecutive cut of 2025. The primary driver is continued weakness in the job market and rising unemployment, despite stubborn inflation.

3. **The Event Window:** Today's full lineup of events means ** Volatility AHEAD**:

* **2:00 PM ET:** FED RATE CUT Decision

* **2:00 PM ET:** FOMC Economic Projections (Dot Plot)

* **2:30 PM ET:** FOMC Press Conference

***

**📈 Will the Crypto Market Rebound? (My Trading Strategy)**

The question isn't *if* the cut happens, but *what happens next*. Since a 25 bps cut is 96% priced in, the immediate reaction may be minimal (a "sell the news" dip, or a small surge). The **real market mover** will be the **Dot Plot and Powell's forward guidance.**

* **If Powell suggests an aggressive easing cycle for 2026 (more than 2 cuts):** Expect a massive liquidity pump across risk assets, driving $BTC and Altcoins higher.

* **If Powell is cautious, despite the cut (fewer cuts in 2026):** We will likely see a sudden and sharp correction as market expectations are reset.

**🔥 Live Market & Strategy Update (Alex's Trades)**

The crypto market is holding strong ahead of the news, showing resilience:

| Asset | 24H Performance | Technical Note |

| :--- | :--- | :--- |

| **$BTC** | Trending slightly positive (+0.63%) | Confidence is returning; bulls are defending key support levels. |

| **$ETH** | Trending slightly positive (+0.86%) | Showing strength, holding key resistance area. |

**My Strategy: Watch the Alts for outsized gains, but trade with caution.**

I am setting up a high-leverage **$SOL** long position if it breaks above the **$100 resistance** immediately after the announcement, using tight stop-losses (max 5% risk) to protect capital from whipsaws. This is my plan to capitalize on the potential Altcoin rotation if we get a bullish nod from Powell.

***

### **🔑 Mandatory Task Compliance**

Remember to engage with this topic and share your own strategy.
**Link to the Event Topic on Gate.io Square:**

[https://www.gate.com/post/topic/FedRateCutPrediction?topic_id=155576](https://www.gate.com/post/topic/FedRateCutPrediction?topic_id=155576)

**What is YOUR prediction? Will the 25 bps cut be enough to send $BTC soaring, or is the Dot Plot the real danger?**

Let's discuss and trade safely! Follow me for my live post-FOMC analysis.

‍#FedRateCutPrediction #美联储降息预测 #VOLATILITYAHEAD #Gateio #AlexsTrade