Prediction markets are heating up with some interesting numbers on the Democratic side. One decentralized platform shows Gavin Newsom sitting at 37% probability for the party's presidential nomination—clearly the front-runner in current odds. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails as the second-most-likely candidate at 10%. These probability figures reflect real-time market sentiment, where participants are essentially betting on political outcomes. Worth noting how prediction markets continue to gain traction as alternative indicators for political forecasting, offering a different lens compared to traditional polling methods.
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degenwhisperer
· 21h ago
lol Newsom 37% That probability is a bit exaggerated, feels like the market is hyping it up again.
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GateUser-cff9c776
· 21h ago
37% of Newsom? This floor price feels a bit fake. The US political chart is comparable to shitcoin volatility.
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fren.eth
· 21h ago
Newsom 37% is a bit high; the market is really optimistic about him.
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MechanicalMartel
· 21h ago
Newsom 37% - this probability seems a bit unrealistic; the market is probably speculating...
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GateUser-a606bf0c
· 21h ago
Ngl Newsom's 37% feels a bit fake... The market may not be reliable either.
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ParallelChainMaxi
· 21h ago
Nah, prediction markets > traditional polls. The 37% for Newsom feels like an overestimate.
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GasWaster
· 22h ago
ngl watching people bet their bags on newsom while aoc sits at 10% is giving major gas fee vibes... like yeah the odds look clean on-chain but have u calculated the actual cost of playing these markets? bridge fees gonna wreck ur cost-basis lmao. prediction markets r cool n all but fr the real meta is just waiting for the optimal window to even enter the position 💀
Prediction markets are heating up with some interesting numbers on the Democratic side. One decentralized platform shows Gavin Newsom sitting at 37% probability for the party's presidential nomination—clearly the front-runner in current odds. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails as the second-most-likely candidate at 10%. These probability figures reflect real-time market sentiment, where participants are essentially betting on political outcomes. Worth noting how prediction markets continue to gain traction as alternative indicators for political forecasting, offering a different lens compared to traditional polling methods.