#以太坊行情技术解读 Eight years in the crypto world, witnessing countless people lose everything, but also witnessing the逆袭 of those who are self-disciplined.
Once had a friend who, three years ago, was paying off debts by riding a bike in a city slum, exhausted day after day. Two years ago, he started reviewing his trading data and recently sent me a screenshot of his account — seven figures, which was quite shocking. He then told me a truth: this market is not a casino at all; instead, it is a playground for those willing to "stick to discipline." Smart people always try to take shortcuts only to be lessons learned, honest folks are the ones who laugh last.
**Abandon 90% of the noise, focus only on the core window**
The biggest illness for beginners is chasing highs and selling lows. He used to do that too, following "gurus" for half a year, losing everything and even incurring debt. Later, he made a firm decision to pull out two years of K-line data and discovered the clue. He started focusing only on two time windows:
European session overlap (15:00-17:00). During this time, institutional funds are active, and false breakouts are greatly reduced. Prepare strategies in advance, wait for signals, then place orders. Relying on swing trading, he achieves an annualized return of over 15%.
After the Non-Farm Payroll report (every first Friday at 02:30 AM). Instead of following the initial market sentiment, he waits for 15 minutes to confirm the K-line before lightly entering positions. During the Non-Farm Payroll night last November, half of his position's profit was equivalent to three months' salary from his job.
**The "Iron Triangle" technical signals**
Using too many indicators only causes confusion. He finally sticks to three tools:
Bollinger Bands "Triple Bottom" — price touches the lower band three times in a row, volume gradually increases, rebound is imminent. RSI "Breaks the Midline" — rises above 50 after falling below 30, indicating a trend reversal. OBV "Pre-Positioning" — while the price is sideways, OBV quietly rises, indicating that funds are already entering.
When these three signals appear simultaneously, it is the real entry point. Last year, he captured a wave of 30% growth based on this logic.
**The art of taking profits**
Most people's losses are not during the decline but after they make profits and then give them back. His approach is: when profit reaches 50%, cash out half to lock in gains. The remaining position sets a "floating take-profit line," using the recent low as a safety cushion; as long as it does not break below, hold on.
The cleverness of this approach is to use the market’s own gains to pursue larger upward moves, making the mindset more stable. During pullbacks, you just earn less but never lose money.
The market is always there, but the windows won't wait. To find your own rhythm, discipline remains the core — respect for time, respect for risk.
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DeFi_Dad_Jokes
· 6h ago
Hey, fine, it's the usual discipline discussion. It's correct but gets old... How did my older brother get that seven-figure number? Can a review really turn things around? I feel like luck still plays a key role in positioning.
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DustCollector
· 6h ago
Discipline is easy to talk about but impossible to do, many people fail at taking profits.
Chasing highs and selling lows is really deadly; I've seen too many cases.
The Bollinger Bands triple bottom logic is pretty good, but in practice, it's easy to lose your composure.
Taking half profits at 50%? I tried it, but ended up losing everything again, haha.
This theory sounds good, but the hard part is the temptation during execution.
The window indeed doesn't wait for anyone, but the problem is how to judge if you've truly seized the opportunity.
For data releases like non-farm payrolls, I gave up chasing them long ago; it's too heartbreaking.
No matter how many indicators you use, they are still traps; ultimately, you have to rely on discipline to control your inner demons.
It reminds me a bit of my days three years ago, when I also hoped to turn things around, but in the end... forget it.
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SnapshotStriker
· 6h ago
No matter how eloquently it's said, it can't change the fact that most people will still lose in the end. I believe in discipline, but I trust luck even more.
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PessimisticOracle
· 6h ago
Discipline is easy to talk about, but how many can really stick with it?
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It's the same old story, but I've seen too many people who think they've found the "rhythm" and end up collapsing.
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Damn, that 15% annualized rate sounds impressive, but try it in a different market environment?
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I just want to ask, does that guy's seven-figure amount still exist now, or was it already wiped out in that wave of market movement?
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The key still depends on luck. Don't mistake survivor bias for a rule.
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I've used the non-farm payroll approach before, but I ended up losing even faster... So I guess it depends on the person.
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Why do I find it so hard to believe in the phrase "never lose money"...
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The logic of taking profit at 50% sounds good, but psychologically, it's too strong when executing, always wanting to wait a bit longer.
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Is the "Iron Triangle" indicator combined? Isn't that just an upgraded version of the big hype in technical analysis?
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LiquidationWatcher
· 6h ago
Sounds good, but how many truly can endure two years of review?
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ForkTrooper
· 6h ago
Discipline is easy to talk about, but very few can stick to it when actually doing it.
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I also stayed in the market during those two hours of the European session, but I always got itchy and acted early, and I regret it every time.
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The combination of Bollinger Bands and RSI has indeed caught several waves, but I completely forget about it when my mentality collapses.
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Setting a 50% take profit and pocketing half sounds simple, but in reality, holding back from chasing highs is really difficult.
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I feel that discipline is more important than technical analysis itself, but the reality is that most people get emotionally knocked out before they even understand the technicals.
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Earning three months' wages in a half-day during non-farm nights? That must be a huge position... A bit intense.
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"Honest people can laugh last," this sounds like a motivational quote but is actually true—it’s just too heartbreaking.
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Setting a floating take profit line at the lowest point is a good idea; it’s like betting the next wave using the market’s own money.
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After eight years of experience, you’ve definitely seen all kinds of scams. This article has some real insights, but it also can't prevent beginners from getting chopped up by the market.
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Chasing highs and selling lows is really the most money-burning habit in the crypto world. I’ve climbed out of that pit myself.
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MetaverseVagrant
· 6h ago
Honestly, I've heard this logic too many times, and ultimately only a few people can truly stick with it.
That friend's story is indeed inspiring, but on the other hand, his success essentially comes down to surviving. Most people die along the way and never get the chance to review or reflect.
#以太坊行情技术解读 Eight years in the crypto world, witnessing countless people lose everything, but also witnessing the逆袭 of those who are self-disciplined.
Once had a friend who, three years ago, was paying off debts by riding a bike in a city slum, exhausted day after day. Two years ago, he started reviewing his trading data and recently sent me a screenshot of his account — seven figures, which was quite shocking. He then told me a truth: this market is not a casino at all; instead, it is a playground for those willing to "stick to discipline." Smart people always try to take shortcuts only to be lessons learned, honest folks are the ones who laugh last.
**Abandon 90% of the noise, focus only on the core window**
The biggest illness for beginners is chasing highs and selling lows. He used to do that too, following "gurus" for half a year, losing everything and even incurring debt. Later, he made a firm decision to pull out two years of K-line data and discovered the clue. He started focusing only on two time windows:
European session overlap (15:00-17:00). During this time, institutional funds are active, and false breakouts are greatly reduced. Prepare strategies in advance, wait for signals, then place orders. Relying on swing trading, he achieves an annualized return of over 15%.
After the Non-Farm Payroll report (every first Friday at 02:30 AM). Instead of following the initial market sentiment, he waits for 15 minutes to confirm the K-line before lightly entering positions. During the Non-Farm Payroll night last November, half of his position's profit was equivalent to three months' salary from his job.
**The "Iron Triangle" technical signals**
Using too many indicators only causes confusion. He finally sticks to three tools:
Bollinger Bands "Triple Bottom" — price touches the lower band three times in a row, volume gradually increases, rebound is imminent. RSI "Breaks the Midline" — rises above 50 after falling below 30, indicating a trend reversal. OBV "Pre-Positioning" — while the price is sideways, OBV quietly rises, indicating that funds are already entering.
When these three signals appear simultaneously, it is the real entry point. Last year, he captured a wave of 30% growth based on this logic.
**The art of taking profits**
Most people's losses are not during the decline but after they make profits and then give them back. His approach is: when profit reaches 50%, cash out half to lock in gains. The remaining position sets a "floating take-profit line," using the recent low as a safety cushion; as long as it does not break below, hold on.
The cleverness of this approach is to use the market’s own gains to pursue larger upward moves, making the mindset more stable. During pullbacks, you just earn less but never lose money.
The market is always there, but the windows won't wait. To find your own rhythm, discipline remains the core — respect for time, respect for risk.