2025-12-12 16:28:59

Still clinging to the 4-year cycle theory? Maybe it's time to reconsider.

Look at what's actually happening in 2025—Bitcoin and most altcoins are defying the script that used to feel ironclad. The traditional halving cycle narrative that used to dominate? It's looking increasingly fragile against real market dynamics.

Everything's shifted. Macro conditions, institutional flows, tokenomics, tech maturity—they're all playing different roles now. The old playbook doesn't map onto current reality the way it once did.

Worth asking yourself: what are you really betting on when you rely on patterns that may have already expired?

BTC-0.33%

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

16 Likes

Reward
16
5
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

GasGuru

· 2h ago

The four-year cycle theory should have been discarded long ago. Those still clinging to it are really in need of a wake-up call. This round of the market doesn't look like it's following the same "patterns" as before. Institutions, macro factors, and token design have all changed. Sticking to the old script will only get you proven wrong.

View OriginalReply0

LiquidationOracle

· 12-12 16:59

The four-year cycle argument should have been discarded long ago; crypto people always try to fit the formula.

View OriginalReply0

CafeMinor

· 12-12 16:46

The 4-year cycle is dead, and the new narrative hasn't arrived yet --- Honestly, I'm tired of this theory already. Institutional entry indeed changed the game rules --- Wait... so my three years of investment logic are all useless? --- The macro environment has changed so much, yet people still cling to halvings, really --- The key is no one knows what the new cycle is now, it's frustrating

View OriginalReply0

CrossChainMessenger

· 12-12 16:43

The four-year cycle should have been discarded long ago; this time, it's truly different.

View OriginalReply0

StrawberryIce