2025 NEAR Protocol Price Prediction: User Growth Expected to Drive Price Back to $10

NEAR prices have traded at a lower level relative to the previous cycle’s high point for most of 2025, despite ongoing growth in on-chain activity and ecosystem adoption. This disconnect between fundamentals and market valuation has led some analysts to discuss the possibility of a “revaluation” of NEAR—if certain conditions are met, the price may have a chance to approach the $10 region.

As a content creator for Gate, this article will analyze NEAR’s current position, how user growth influences the 2025 outlook, and the realistic pathways for Gate traders to achieve the $10 target.

Current NEAR Price: Trading Below Historical Highs

Currently, NEAR is well below the over $20 peak reached during the 2021–2022 bull market. Since that high, NEAR has experienced an over 80–90% retracement, similar to the trend seen in many Layer-1 tokens from that cycle.

On the Gate platform, the NEAR/USDT trading pair has recently hovered below $2, with daily volatility mainly confined within a relatively narrow range. This indicates that NEAR:

• Is far from its historical high;
• But still above the levels seen during early issuance, when it was below $1.

In other words, NEAR’s current price is in the “middle zone” of a long-term chart: neither in an extremely panic-driven bottom area nor showing signs of a full recovery. This context is particularly important when evaluating bold opinions like NEAR potentially returning to $10 in 2025.

NEAR Price and On-Chain Activity: Why Is NEAR Lagging Ecosystem Growth?

The core of the bullish logic is simple: actual usage growth is far outpacing NEAR’s price performance.

Over the past two years, NEAR has achieved:

• Active user numbers expanding to tens of millions;
• Peak daily transaction counts reaching several million;
• As on-chain activity increases, protocol fee income continues to grow.

Meanwhile, NEAR remains positioned as a scalable, developer-friendly Layer-1 blockchain with features like:

• Sharding and parallel execution mechanisms supporting high throughput;
• Emphasis on “chain abstraction” and enhanced end-user experience;
• Deepening integrations with emerging applications such as DeFi, gaming, and AI.

From a fundamental perspective, this means NEAR is indeed being widely used, not just experiencing short-lived speculative bursts.

The issue is that NEAR’s price has yet to reflect this growth. Despite increasing addresses, transaction volumes, and fee income, NEAR tokens are still trading at a significant discount, well below previous valuation levels. The gap between actual on-chain activity and market pricing suggests a potential for NEAR’s revaluation in the next cycle.

Technical Analysis of NEAR Price: Is the $2 Range a Bottoming Zone?

From a technical standpoint, the structure around the $2 level has become a key reference point. On higher timeframes, several features are notable:

• The $2 zone has repeatedly served as both support and resistance. When NEAR falls below this level, rebounds tend to be resisted here; if it stabilizes above, dips are often met with buying.
• Momentum indicators (like RSI, MACD, etc.) on daily charts tend to be in neutral zones, indicating consolidation rather than a clear trend.
• Volume remains healthy but has not yet reached “breakout” levels, suggesting accumulation by patient participants rather than aggressive trend chasing.

If this pattern continues, the $2 range could be seen as a potential bottoming area for NEAR:

• If it holds mid-term, candlestick formations may gradually evolve into long-term arc bottoms or range-bound consolidation, building momentum for subsequent rises;
• If it is broken down convincingly, a longer sideways movement or further decline to lower levels could ensue, making a short-term reversal unlikely.

For Gate traders, NEAR’s performance within this zone will provide important signals for spot positioning and leverage strategies.

The $10 Reversal Scenario for NEAR: What Conditions Are Needed by 2025?

Rising from below $2 to reach $10 by 2025 implies a revaluation of about 4–5x. While challenging, such an increase is not impossible during a strong crypto cycle, provided multiple factors align.

Potential pathways for NEAR to reach $10 include:

1. Macro Favorability for Risk Assets Overall crypto market conditions improve: loose monetary policies, renewed interest in tech and growth assets, and broad upward trends in major coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Historically, Layer-1 tokens like NEAR perform best in “risk appetite” environments.

2. Sustained Growth in Network Activity Monthly active users, daily transaction volumes, and developer engagement continue to rise. For a sustainable revaluation, the market needs to see long-term, compounded growth in usage and fee income, not just short-term spikes.

3. Clear Narrative of NEAR’s Unique Advantages NEAR’s ongoing efforts on chain abstraction, “AI-native” infrastructure, and user experience enhancements should become compelling stories. If these narratives resonate and translate into real-world deployments, they could justify a valuation premium over competitors.

4. Healthy Liquidity and Market Structure Robust order books, active derivatives markets, and strong spot volume on Gate help absorb large capital flows and prevent extreme slippage. If NEAR approaches $10, a significant increase in trading volume and open interest will likely accompany the move.

Even if all these conditions are met, NEAR may not necessarily hit $10. In a strong bull market, NEAR’s price might top out at higher levels, or the $10 mark could be surpassed in an extreme scenario. The key point is that $10 remains a possible scenario, not a baseline expectation.

How Gate Users Can Assess Risk and Reward for NEAR by 2025

As one of the leading NEAR listing platforms globally, Gate offers users various ways to participate in NEAR’s price dynamics:

• Spot trading of NEAR/USDT for long-term holdings or short-term trades;
• Leveraged and derivatives products (if available) to express views on volatility and direction;
• Research content and data to analyze NEAR ecosystem developments in a broader crypto context.

A practical approach for Gate users to weigh NEAR’s risk-reward profile by 2025:

• View the sub-$2 range as high-risk, high-potential: if the $10 revaluation occurs, returns could be substantial; but sustained weakness or deep corrections also pose risks.
• Use the $2 level as a structural boundary:
  • If NEAR recovers and stays above $2 with volume support, this can underpin more aggressive mid-term long positions;
  • If repeatedly resisted or broken below, maintain caution, defensive positions, or short-term trading bias.
• Balance position sizing and stop-loss strategies to account for both upside potential and downside risks, avoiding over-reliance on a single outcome.

Gate’s trading infrastructure enables users to adapt their positions dynamically according to real-time NEAR price movements, avoiding rigid narratives.

2025 NEAR Price Outlook: A Rational View Balancing Upside and Downside

A rational framework for NEAR in 2025 may include:

• Fundamentals: sustained user growth, trading volume, and protocol fee improvements, with ongoing expansion of scalability tech, reinforcing long-term investment case;
• Valuation: trading at a significant discount relative to all-time highs, with potential for substantial revaluation;
• Baseline Range: if the ecosystem continues to expand and macro conditions remain neutral or slightly optimistic, NEAR could be in a mid-to-high range by the end of 2025;
• Bullish Scenario: a strong bull run, narrative momentum, and increasing activity could push NEAR towards $10, realizing a “reversal” from current discounts;
• Bearish or Delayed Scenario: macro deterioration or NEAR losing key technical levels (like $2) might lead to sideways trading or further declines into 2026, delaying revaluation.

For Gate traders and investors, the key is not to fixate solely on the $10 target but to consider it as one of many possible outcomes in a structured strategy. NEAR’s final valuation will be driven by usage, narrative, liquidity, and macro factors, and trading strategies should adapt accordingly.

This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Before trading NEAR/USDT on Gate, please evaluate your risk tolerance, capital allocation, and holding timeline carefully.