#以太坊行情技术解读 Bitcoin Short-Term Trend and Trading Opportunities Analysis

Yesterday’s intraday market was quite volatile. BTC gradually rebounded from the early low of 85084 and is now consolidating around 85800, still looking for direction. On the daily chart, the bearish pattern remains dominant, and the 4-hour MACD shows increasing bearish momentum — indicating that the downward force has not fully dissipated.

Regarding resistance levels, the 87500 to 88000 zone is a relatively dense trading area, which will likely exert considerable pressure. Above that, there is a strong resistance zone between 89700 and 90000. Looking at support, the 85000 level is critical; if it is broken, the price could drop to 84500, and possibly even directly to 82000.

Short-selling perspective: Consider entering a short position when the price rebounds to the 87500-88000 area, with a stop-loss around 89000 (about 1% above the resistance level), and target 86000-85500. This risk-reward ratio is approximately 1:2. If the price truly breaks below 85000 support, you can add to the position, moving the stop-loss down to 85500, with a target around 84000, achieving a profit/loss ratio of about 1:2.5.

Long-position strategy: Buy on dips within the 85000-85500 retracement zone, with a stop-loss below 84500 (below support), and aim for 86500-87000 on the upside. This setup offers a risk-reward ratio close to 1:2 and aligns with the rebound rhythm after an oversold condition.

Ethereum: Thoughts after breaking the 3000 level

ETH has been a bit volatile these days. The intraday low was 2892, and now it’s stabilizing around 2940. After breaking the 3000 mark, the 4-hour moving averages formed a death cross, indicating some technical weakness. However, on-chain data shows that whale holdings remain relatively stable, and the fundamentals supporting the Fusaka upgrade are still in place, so there’s no need to be overly pessimistic.

Resistance levels are at 3030-3070 for short-term key resistance, and 3080-3130 as strong resistance. Support levels are at 2870-2900; if broken, watch for 2800.

Short strategy: Enter a short position on a rebound to 3030-3070, with a stop-loss slightly above 3100, and target 2930-2900. The risk-reward ratio is about 1:2. If the price breaks below 2900 support, consider a light short position with a stop-loss at 2930 and a target around 2830, with a risk-reward ratio of 1:2.3.

Long opportunity: Buy on dips in the 2870-2900 zone, with a stop-loss below 2830 (below key support), and target 3000-3020. The risk-reward ratio is close to 1:2. Be cautious and monitor whether BTC stabilizes, to avoid being caught in a linked decline.

Risk Control Tips

Recently, the Bank of Japan’s interest rate hike news may trigger capital outflows, so stay alert. Limit each trade’s risk to 1%-2% of your account funds. If your stop-loss is hit, exit immediately — never hold through a loss. During volatile market conditions, shorten your holding periods; as long as the risk-reward ratio meets your criteria, it’s fine. Don’t ruin your trading mindset chasing excessive gains.