【Crypto World】Recently, market sentiment has generally been optimistic, but a closer look at several key indicators has started to show signs of discord—often a signal that the market trend is about to change in history.
Where is the problem? Inflation trends, employment data, and interest rate expectations—these indicators that should move in sync—are now diverging. On the surface, the market appears prosperous, but the underlying economic fundamentals are much more fragile.
What’s more concerning is that mainstream asset classes are beginning to send warning signals—the leading assets may not be able to hold their positions, and volatility may not be sustainably suppressed. The market’s tolerance period may be coming to an end.
The most important thing now is to keep a close eye on fundamental data. Investors need to weigh for themselves: continue to all-in on the optimistic story of 2026, or shift to a more cautious defensive stance? History has taught us a harsh truth: only those who sell at the high points have chips to buy at the lows. Since the end of October, Bitcoin has already fallen 23%, and this wave of market decline is now spreading across the entire risk asset sector.
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fren_with_benefits
· 12-19 20:15
Indicators conflicting, sure enough, something's going to happen. Don't follow the trend and go all in.
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GweiTooHigh
· 12-18 12:54
Are you starting to talk about indicator divergence again? I saw it coming a long time ago, and you're only reacting now?
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All in 2026? That's hilarious. I've heard this kind of rhetoric since last year.
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Really, very few people sold at the high points; most are still in the process of bottom-fishing.
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People panic when BTC drops 23%. That mindset definitely needs to be tempered.
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Indicator conflicts are actually quite normal, mainly depends on how you plan your layout.
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A defensive stance sounds good, but who is willing to miss out?
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It's a bit late to say these now; no one listened when it was time to reduce positions.
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liquidation_watcher
· 12-17 03:47
It's the old tune of "history repeats itself" again. I bet five U's that this wave will continue to rise... It's normal for indicators to conflict; the Fed is hawkish one moment and dovish the next. Who says they have to march in step?
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LiquidityWizard
· 12-17 03:38
actually, the divergence in macro indicators hitting different is textbook regime shift material — correlation breakdowns like this? statistically significant precursor to volatility expansion, not compression. everyone's still narrating the 2026 bullcase but the data's literally screaming something else rn
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JustHereForMemes
· 12-17 03:33
Divergence in indicators? Isn't that a classic signal before a crash? That trick is old now.
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All in 2026? Bro, you're overthinking it. Let's survive this year first.
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A 23% drop isn't enough to watch; wait for the next wave.
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Anyone still talking about fundamentals now has a rookie mindset—pure gambling.
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Selling at the high? Most people can't even catch the high point, so what chips are they talking about?
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The tolerance period is over... I've heard that phrase too many times, but I'm still here.
Risks Hidden Beneath Market Optimism: Diverging Macro Indicators Signal Pattern Changes
【Crypto World】Recently, market sentiment has generally been optimistic, but a closer look at several key indicators has started to show signs of discord—often a signal that the market trend is about to change in history.
Where is the problem? Inflation trends, employment data, and interest rate expectations—these indicators that should move in sync—are now diverging. On the surface, the market appears prosperous, but the underlying economic fundamentals are much more fragile.
What’s more concerning is that mainstream asset classes are beginning to send warning signals—the leading assets may not be able to hold their positions, and volatility may not be sustainably suppressed. The market’s tolerance period may be coming to an end.
The most important thing now is to keep a close eye on fundamental data. Investors need to weigh for themselves: continue to all-in on the optimistic story of 2026, or shift to a more cautious defensive stance? History has taught us a harsh truth: only those who sell at the high points have chips to buy at the lows. Since the end of October, Bitcoin has already fallen 23%, and this wave of market decline is now spreading across the entire risk asset sector.