Trump's televised speech triggers market predictions, crypto gambling platform trading volume surges

2025-12-18 01:58:10

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【Blockchain Rhythm】Trump announced that he will deliver a nationwide televised speech at 9:00 PM Eastern Time on Wednesday (10:00 AM Beijing Time on Thursday). The timing of this speech is quite delicate — he has just returned to the White House for a year, but his public approval ratings are beginning to decline, and the economic situation is not optimistic.

Interestingly, as soon as this news broke, the crypto prediction platform exploded. On Polymarket, the trading volume for predictions about this speech reached $351,387, with participants betting on the content of the speech. Specifically, traders generally favor the probability that he will mention “Venezuela,” which is as high as 89%; and the probability that he will use negative terms like “Terrible / Horrible” is even marked at 96%.

From the trading data, it can be seen that the enthusiasm for political events in crypto prediction markets has always been high. Users on these platforms not only express opinions but also participate in betting transactions, truly turning predictions into tradable assets. This also reflects that Web3 prediction markets are gradually becoming a new mechanism for information pricing.

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down_only_larry

· 12-21 01:17

Haha, betting on Trump's speech again. These people are really bored and annoying. --- 96% think it's terrible? I bet he will say more than terrible. --- Prediction markets are starting to harvest again. Who will be the loser this time? --- Polymarket's traffic is truly terrifying. Only 351k and it's just getting started? --- Oh my God, these people will bet on anything. I’m going all in and saying Venezuela. --- Laughing to death, when approval ratings drop, they immediately turn on the mic. Classic topic shift. --- Can there be some new tricks? Every speech can be bet on. Crypto really dares to bet on anything.

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EyeOfTheTokenStorm

· 12-20 21:36

96% of the words are negative? This is the market speaking, fully pricing in pessimistic expectations. From historical data, politicians are indeed more likely to shift blame when their approval ratings decline. Technically, this probability has already reached the ceiling, so we need to be alert to reverse signals.

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HashRateHustler

· 12-19 23:33

$351K? This is what gamblers look like when they play politics, hilarious --- 96% negative wording? Wake up, this is just them betting on shifting the blame --- Polymarket's recent hype really treats politics like stocks --- 89% probability of Venezuela, are traders collectively prophets? --- Before the speech even started, bets were already placed. Crypto casinos never close --- Support rate drops, yet they still have to tough it out on TV speeches. This script is pretty intense --- Over $3.5 million poured in just to bet on him not saying "horrible," Web3 is going crazy

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Deconstructionist

· 12-19 19:02

96% use negative words? Ha, these people are really consistent in their evaluations of him, or is it just a show that can be hyped up? Let's bet and see if tomorrow's speech can break the traders' expectations. Anyway, on Polymarket, these people's "consensus" is often proven wrong. A year has passed and public opinion is still declining. Can a speech save the situation? I doubt it, but as long as there's something to bet on, it's fine. I really don't understand what those people in the prediction market are thinking. Is their enthusiasm too high? It's just a speech.

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Blockchainiac

· 12-18 02:28

There's a 96% chance of badmouthing, I bet five dollars that traders are right, haha

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GasWaster69

· 12-18 02:27

96% chance to say terrible/horrible? Haha, these people really have him figured out, not a single word off.

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mev_me_maybe

· 12-18 02:26

Haha, these people are really committed to gambling, 96% bet on him saying "terrible," might as well just go buy his recordings directly.

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RetroHodler91

· 12-18 02:26

96% probability of saying "terrible"? Haha, that's just ridiculous. It feels like traders have already played out Trump's wording. --- Whoa, $350,000 trading volume. This prediction market really can't hold up anymore. More exciting than a casino. --- I'm reassured by Venezuela's high odds. The soothsayers have already spoiled the surprise in advance. --- The funny thing is everyone is betting on what he'll say on Polymarket. Instead of betting whether his speech can save the economy, haha. --- That's the charm of Web3. Anything can be opened for trading, much faster than traditional media commentary. --- Looking at trading data is more accurate than polls. This is true crowd wisdom, right? --- Support rate declining and still speaking. Is this a call to rally the market with a rap performance? --- It's subtle, right? Everything is subtle. At this moment, giving a speech does feel a bit tense.

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MetaverseLandlady

· 12-18 02:24

96% probability with negative wording, that's Trump's style, very steady, Polymarket folks are really good at betting.

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BlockchainBouncer