As of December 23, 2025, 12:30, the Bitcoin price is approximately $88,500, having risen and then fallen during the day, currently in the core fluctuation range of $88,000 to $89,000, with a short-term bias towards consolidation.

Key price level (USD)

- Support: 88000 (intraday core) → 87500 → 87000 (strong support)
- Resistance: 89000 (minor resistance) → 90000 (psychological barrier) → 90554 (recent high)

Technical Overview

- 1 hour: RSI is neutral to strong (58.3), MACD has a double golden cross above the zero line, short-term bulls have momentum but not strong.
- 4 hours: 89-period EMA around 88210, a rebound above it is expected to continue; daily MACD dead cross but momentum is weak, both bulls and bears are balanced.
- Market sentiment: Fear and Greed Index 29 (Fear), year-end liquidity tightening, ETF fund outflows, weak upward momentum.

Probability and Scenario Forecasting (Within Today)

- Fluctuation probability 60%: oscillating repeatedly between 88000-89000 dollars, with a tug of war between bulls and bears, mainly observing towards the end of the year.
- Upside breakout probability 25%: After stabilizing at 89000, it will challenge 90000, requiring volume and ETF fund inflow support.
- Downward breakout probability 15%: If it breaks below 88000, it will test 87500-87000, and low liquidity at the end of the year can amplify volatility.

Trading Strategy

- Range Trading: Small long positions near 88000-88200, stop loss at 87800; small short positions near 88800-89000, stop loss at 89200. Quick in and out, light positions to control risk.
- Breakthrough strategy: After a significant increase and stabilizing above 89000, follow the trend to go long, target 90000; if it drops below 88000 and does not recover in 30 minutes, then go short, target 87500.
- Risk Warning: Liquidity decreases before the Christmas holiday, volatility may increase; pay attention to ETF capital flows and changes in expectations regarding Federal Reserve policies.

Do you need me to organize the key price levels and trigger conditions into 3 executable trading rules for today (entry/stop loss/target), and you can just follow it?