$RIVER's recent trend is quite interesting. Looking at the 4-hour chart, this guy has been moving sideways at a high level for a while now. This situation often requires attention — it is likely that long positions are dumping in phases (Distribution).



The logic of the market is actually very straightforward:

First, look at the risks. The "false breakout" with a spike followed by a drop, or a direct drop through the mid-axis of the sideways movement on high volume, both need to be guarded against. After such a long period of consolidation, how the accumulated energy is finally released is the key.

We have already taken defensive measures in our operations. All the long positions we held have been hedged at a 1:1 ratio, putting the initiative in our own hands, so we are not afraid of sudden market changes.

Then, how to operate next? Is it too early to go short? The short signals on the left side have not fully accumulated yet, so our strategy is to continue waiting. Wait for a breakout with increased volume, or look for a clear top reversal pattern, and then it won't be too late to enter.

In the end, keeping an eye on the trend is a skill; being able to control your hands and avoid reckless operations is true cultivation.
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