BTC Bear Market lowest point range

First halving in November 2012 → Bear Market bottom: 2015 (about 775 days later)

July 2016 second halving → Bear Market bottom: 2018 (about 880 days later)

The third halving in May 2020 → Bear Market bottom: 2022 (approximately 923 days later)

The time interval from halving to the bear market bottom shows a gradually extending trend (775→880→923 days), which is related to the increasing maturity of the market and the rise in institutional participation.

Fourth Halving Estimation:

In April 2024, the halving occurs. If historical trends continue, the bottom time interval may be around 950-1000 days.

Calculating from April 2024, approximately 950 days later will be around December 2026, and approximately 1000 days later will be around March 2027.

In summary, the bottom of this round of Bear Market is expected to be around December 2026 to March 2027.

History does not repeat itself simply, but it is always remarkably similar.