Recently, the trend of AAVE has kept many coin holders awake at night. The market data continues to dip, and the Candlestick chart is filled with green. Many are torn between whether to hold on or to implement a stop loss in time. To clarify the thought process, we need to look at two key signals.

First, let's talk about the "abnormal" signs in the news.

A piece of news has gone viral – a large investor who had been inactive for half a year suddenly bought 500 ETH worth of 9629 AAVE. It may not seem particularly exaggerated at first, but looking closely at the account history reveals something interesting. This player has gradually purchased nearly 40,000 AAVE over the past year, with a total investment of 6.2 million dollars and an average cost reaching 264 dollars.

Where is AAVE now? 151 dollars.

In other words, this asset has already incurred a floating loss of 4.15 million dollars. A normal person would have long cut their losses and exited in such a situation. But what about this big player? Not only did they not run away, but instead, at the most pessimistic time in the market, with prices at their lowest, they continued to add to their position. This strategy is somewhat similar to the classic saying — "When others are greedy, I am fearful; when others are fearful, I am greedy." What drives a person to continue betting in the face of such significant floating losses? Is it simply their gambling nature, or have they truly seen something that others have not? Could it be that they believe AAVE is a goldmine at this price point?

Let's take a look at the technical signals.

Looking at the one-hour level trend, the direction is very clear - continuing to dip. The fast and slow lines of the MACD are still below the zero axis, showing a dead cross state, indicating that the short-term bearish momentum is still being released. This is a realistic reminder: the market data has not yet stabilized completely.

How should we view the situation where the news and technical aspects are at odds? Perhaps this is the most tormenting time for the market—data leaves you in doubt, and prices make you feel conflicted.