December 24 ETH Technical Analysis Strategy (as of 13:30, current price around 2950 USD)

• Core Judgment: Short-term fluctuations are bearish, with a focus on short positions and support for long positions; liquidity is low during the Christmas holiday, strictly control positions and stop losses.

Key Price Level (Multi-Period)

• Support: 2930 (intraday) → 2880 (4H) → 2840-2860 (daily strong support) → 2780 (extreme defense)

• Resistance: 2980 (4H mid-line) → 3010 (Fibonacci) → 3050 (psychological/trend line) → 3120 (daily confirmation level)

Indicator Overview

• Daily: RSI 42.8 (neutral to weak); MACD green bars slightly shrink but the main line is still negative, bearish structure unchanged.

• 4 hours: The moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, and the price is near the lower Bollinger Band, showing weak rebound.

• 2 hours: Short-term oversold correction, rebound meets resistance and turns to short signal

Executable Strategies (By Scenario)

1. High Altitude Strategy (Main Strategy)

◦ Opening position: 2960-2980 encountered resistance (such as top reversal/volume contraction), light position 10%-15% short position.

◦ Increase position: If it rebounds to 3010-3030 and meets resistance again, increase short position by 10%.

◦ Stop Loss: Unified set above 3060 (daily resistance + holiday volatility buffer)

◦ Take Profit: First target 2880 (reduce position by 50%), second target 2840-2860 (liquidate all)

2. Low Long Strategy (Auxiliary, only executed when support is effective)

◦ Open position: stabilize at 2840-2860 (such as bottom type / volume rebound), light position 10% long

◦ Stop Loss: below 2810 (reverse if it falls below strong support)

◦ Take Profit: 2930-2950 (Rebound Resistance Zone, exit in batches)

3. Response to Breakout

◦ Break above 3060 and stabilize: Long at pullback to 3020-3030, stop loss at 3000, target 3100-3120

◦ Break below 2810: Short on rebound to 2840-2860, stop loss at 2880, target 2780

Risk Control Rules

• Total position ≤30%, single variety ≤15%; single stop loss ≤2% of the account

• Poor liquidity during the Christmas holiday, avoid holding large positions overnight; try to reduce positions to light or liquidate before the close.
#2025Gate年度账单 $ETH ‌