8 Years of Blood and Tears in the Crypto Market Taught Me One Thing: Silence Is Wisdom

After 8 years of navigating the crypto market, what I’ve learned isn’t a “quick wealth secret,” nor a magic formula for bottom-fishing – catching the peak perfectly. It’s a very real life lesson: the more knowledgeable you are, the fewer people you have to talk to; the more you talk, the easier you invite trouble. I still vividly remember spring 2023. A familiar sister asked me for the 17th time that year: “Ethereum has increased by 50%, should I sell?” I responded according to the logic of an analyst: “Hold long-term.” She immediately replied: “But I’m very scared.” At that moment, I suddenly understood something very important: she didn’t need analysis, she needed someone to take responsibility on her behalf. It’s not about right or wrong answers, but about a “pretext” to act. I changed my tone: “Just sell.” She sold everything at market price. Later, ETH doubled again. Since then, she hasn’t asked me any more questions about crypto. She only owes me a hotpot for two years, and we still haven’t met. The Outsider Wants an Answer, Not to Understand the Essence Since 2018, I’ve met countless people asking the same questions: “Will this coin go up?” “In your opinion, how much can it rise?” “Is it too late to buy now?” When I answer: “I don’t know.” They stare at me, thinking I’m “pretending to be profound.” But the truth is: I really don’t know. To understand a decent project, you must: Read the whitepaperAnalyze tokenomicsCalculate unlock schedulesTrack on-chain dataObserve money flow behavior Just those tasks alone take at least a month, not counting macroeconomic context and market psychology. Experts are not fortune-tellers. We work with probabilities, not prophecies. They Call You “Expert,” But Want You to Think Like a Newbie There’s a very funny paradox in this market: They acknowledge you as experiencedBut they want you to behave like a beginner You’re only allowed to: Buy coins “cheap”Wait for coins to break even Only speak up when they want to sellNot say things they don’t like to hear I once advised a relative to buy Bitcoin during a bullish phase. They waved me off: “Let me wait until that MEME coin breaks even.” I just smiled, thinking to myself: by the time it breaks even, Layer 2 will probably be on its third upgrade. It’s like someone who’s never driven but is teaching an experienced driver how to change lanes. Helping Once, Carrying Responsibility for Life Someone followed my advice to buy coins, bragging about profits in the group. Then they used leverage on their own, taking risks even higher than mine. When I asked, they nonchalantly replied: “I see the opportunity.” When their account burned out, they came back blaming me. In three years, I’ve never received a full thank you. But when others lose money, I easily become the “culprit.” Helping once feels like carrying responsibility for a lifetime. The Crypto Market Isn’t Short of Information, Only Short of Responsibility After seven years, I’ve realized one thing very clearly: Most people don’t want to learn, don’t want to take responsibility, and don’t want to understand the essence. They only want: A name to blame when they’re wrongA name to boast when they’re right And therefore, silence becomes the best protection. Not because I’m arrogant. Not because I’m “holding back.” But because I understand: every investment decision must be made by the person who puts in the money and bears the responsibility. The crypto market didn’t teach me how to get rich quickly. It taught me when to stay silent, who to talk to, and when to stop. That’s the price of 8 years of blood, sweat, and tears.