#预测市场 The CFTC's recent actions are quite interesting. They directly sent non-enforcement letters to prediction market platforms like Polymarket and Gemini, which is essentially a de facto approval. This simplifies the data compliance requirements and allows for third-party clearing, clearly relaxing restrictions on prediction markets.

To be honest, prediction markets in the U.S. have always been in a gray area, with regulatory attitudes swinging back and forth. This shift in the CFTC's stance reflects a softening of the official attitude towards this sector. But don't get too excited; they made it very clear that this applies only in "very limited circumstances," meaning they won't pursue enforcement under specific conditions, but it doesn't mean a full deregulation.

For the community, this is good news, at least reducing the compliance burden on platforms. However, a large-scale breakout still depends on how the U.S. overall policy towards prediction markets evolves. We need to keep observing this situation; it's not the final outcome.