2026-01-05 05:01:48

Looking back at the pattern: whenever ETH closes out Q4 in the red, the next Q1 tends to flip green. It's one of those seasonal rhythms that keeps showing up. Whether it's capitulation washing out weak hands at year-end or just the typical January bounce—the data speaks for itself. Worth keeping an eye on this cycle as we move through different market phases.

ETH-1,85%

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DefiOldTrickster

· 20h ago

Haha, Q4 crashes, Q1 rebounds? I've seen this trick back in 2017, almost got me trapped to death. But this time, I really need to keep a close eye on the liquidation price. At the end of the year, retail investors cut their losses, which is exactly the hunting season for seasoned veterans like us.

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ForkYouPayMe

· 21h ago

The idea of seasonal patterns sounds good, but when the market crashes, all of that is just clouds...

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TopBuyerBottomSeller

· 01-05 05:28

Q4 drops, Q1 rises? Is this pattern true? I feel like I always get the direction wrong haha

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PonziWhisperer

· 01-05 05:23

NGL, this seasonal pattern is a bit mystical, but the fact that it drops in Q4 and rises in Q1 keeps happening repeatedly. It's getting hard to hold back.

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just_vibin_onchain

· 01-05 05:22

ngl, this pattern is really amazing, it gets validated every year... weak hands sell off at the end of the year, perfectly coordinated with the rebound in January. Periodicity is only scary if you truly believe in it.

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MercilessHalal

· 01-05 05:20

Seasonality really exists. I lost a lot in Q4 but still remain optimistic about Q1. Anyway, the historical data is there, so I'll take a gamble.

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MeltdownSurvivalist

· 01-05 05:07

Is this seasonal strategy really reliable... I just want to ask how many people can truly hold on without selling in Q4

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ProposalManiac

· 01-05 05:03

Seasonal cycles... sound good, but can the data really speak? How many "ironclad rules" in history have been proven wrong in the end? How long can the pattern of a red Q4 and a green Q1 hold? The key still depends on the mechanism itself—whether the underlying liquidity and incentive design truly change. Otherwise, it's just the old trick of survivor bias.

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