Bitcoin hovers around $90,900, and the market is facing a critical collision point between technical and macro factors.



From a fundamental perspective, the Federal Reserve maintaining its stance of no rate cuts puts substantial pressure on dollar-denominated cryptocurrencies. During a dollar appreciation cycle, the logic of capital fleeing risk assets is hard to break — any macro policy signals will overshadow purely technical rebounds.

Notably, data on short positions from leading exchanges like Bitfinex and Kraken show that institutional investors have already positioned themselves for a decline. These positions have been established long ago and are now waiting for the price to cooperate.

The current trading approach is clear: view rebounds as entry points for short positions, not as signals of a bottom reversal.

**Technical reference points:**
- Preferred short entry zone: $91,800–$92,200
- Alternative entry zone: $90,500–$91,000
- Stop-loss setting: above $92,500
- Short target: directly at $88,000, with further downside to $84,000

The key is not to fight the trend by trying to catch the bottom against the market. In a clearly bearish macro environment, every rebound is just an opportunity to add to positions. Success in trading often depends on probability and risk management, not blind expectations of a reversal. Following the trend is the most risk-controlled approach.
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Ser_Liquidatedvip
· 01-10 14:08
Institutions are waiting around 91.8; a rebound is just giving away money.
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HalfBuddhaMoneyvip
· 01-10 13:50
Institutions are all positioning for short positions, while retail investors are still buying at the bottom. This is the harsh reality of the market.
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MoonRocketmanvip
· 01-07 21:51
The institutions have already set up the launch pad, now we just wait to see if the rebound height can reach the gravity resistance level.
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ChainDoctorvip
· 01-07 21:50
Time to short the rebound again, institutions are waiting for us to bottom fish --- The Fed's move is really clever. During the dollar appreciation cycle, what can we do to resist? --- Honestly, there's a high probability of entering a short position at 92k. Don't be fooled by the rebound --- See you at 88k. Go with the trend, and you won't lose money --- Every rebound is a good time to add to short positions. This logic is solid --- Institutions have already made their arrangements. Are we still bottom fishing? Wake up, brothers --- Risk management > blind expectations. This is the right way to make money --- At this critical point of 90k, it feels like a breakdown is imminent --- Don't go against the major trend of dollar appreciation. A painful lesson learned --- Can it really reach 84k? It's a bit uncertain
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NFTDreamervip
· 01-07 21:32
Institutions have been waiting there for a long time; our rebound is just an opportunity for them to add positions and short. --- If the Federal Reserve doesn't act, the dollar will stay strong, and risk assets will have to step aside. --- Enter short positions in the 91800 to 92200 range, and see if it can drop to 88000. --- Stop messing around; in the face of the trend, there is no bottom, only being trapped. --- Every day someone wants to catch the bottom, but institutions are waiting above to harvest. --- This time is different; macro logic is solid, and technical rebounds are just a facade. --- By looking at the short positions, you can tell that big players have already set up the game; only the price needs to cooperate. --- Risk management is the most important; don't be blinded by the rebound. --- Is 84000 the limit, or can it continue to fall? I'm a bit curious. --- This time, really control your hand when counter-trading; it will lead to bankruptcy.
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