A-shares are about to open, so I want to share some thoughts from last night and potential market movements today with everyone.
First, let's look at the performance of the US stock market. Last night, the three major indices showed mixed results — the Nasdaq rose slightly by 0.16%, but the Dow Jones fell by 0.94%, and the S&P 500 also declined by 0.34%. From this pattern, it appears that in the short term, US stocks are more likely to weaken in the very short term.
Next, let's consider the rhythm of our A-shares. Today is Thursday, and the market has already rallied for 14 consecutive days. According to conventional technical analysis, the likelihood of a pullback or consolidation today is higher. However, there's no need to be overly nervous; if a correction does occur, the area around 4034 points should serve as a relatively strong support.
From the overall pattern, I lean towards the market forming a relatively strong doji star today — meaning, if the market refuses to undergo a deep correction and volatility remains moderate, there is a possibility of a slight upward move tomorrow. Technically, the target for this rebound could be around 4132 points.
It's worth mentioning a common saying: after a continuous rise, a correction is inevitable — it's just a matter of timing. At this point, we can confirm one thing: this short-term rally is nearing its end. Therefore, regardless of your trading approach, it's crucial to control your positions and avoid heavy exposure.
On the operational level, those hot sectors that have already experienced significant gains should be cautiously avoided in the very short term. Conversely, sectors that have performed modestly recently and are still at relatively low levels are worth paying attention to for potential opportunities.
Also, pay attention to a detail: if the intraday chart shows a strong upward trend in the morning, be cautious about the possibility of a pullback or profit-taking in the afternoon. This is a common rhythm after a sustained rally.
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DeadTrades_Walking
· 11h ago
14 consecutive bullish candles, huh? This wave of increase is a bit fierce; be careful not to get crushed.
After continuous rallying, a correction is not necessarily inevitable. I feel today might easily surge high and then fall back.
The previously hot sectors indeed should reduce positions; the low positions are actually easier to monitor.
That 4034 line looks like a bottom; as long as it doesn't break, there's still room to play.
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BTCWaveRider
· 17h ago
14 consecutive bullish candles and still dare to hold heavy positions, really tired of this life
Continuous rally will definitely have a pullback, this wave is nearing the end, everyone be cautious
Be careful of a drop in the afternoon after the morning surge, old tricks again
Is the 4034 support reliable? Feels uncertain
The low-position sectors are indeed worth paying attention to, avoid the hot ones for now
A doji on Thursday, let's see how luck goes tomorrow
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NFTArchaeologis
· 01-08 10:56
After 14 consecutive bullish candles, the correction is somewhat like the inevitable "annealing" process in artifact restoration. Trading lightly is more like organizing long-term value than holding a heavy position.
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OnChainDetective
· 01-08 01:58
nah the 14 consecutive green candles thing is textbook setup for a rug... transaction patterns on these pumps always show wallet clustering right before the dump happens. been watching this play out for years tbh
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SchrodingerAirdrop
· 01-08 01:57
14 consecutive bullish candles and still not selling? Do you have to wait for a correction to learn your lesson?
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CryptoSourGrape
· 01-08 01:53
Here we go again? 14 consecutive bullish candles and you still don't sell, only to regret it when it peaks and pulls back. By then, it'll be too late to cry.
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FlashLoanPhantom
· 01-08 01:50
14 consecutive bullish candles and still pushing higher, it would be strange if there was no shakeout and pullback today. Managing position size is truly a necessity.
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rugged_again
· 01-08 01:40
14 consecutive bullish candles and still dare to hold heavy positions, are you trying to get crushed? Haha
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4034 support? It's good if it can hold, but I think it's uncertain.
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The morning rally and afternoon pullback, I know this routine too well. Aren't you cutting less?
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Candlestick patterns like doji, but it's better to just see if 4132 can be touched.
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Talking about controlling positions again, always the same, and in the end, still caught.
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Mediocre sectors might actually have a chance? I like this idea, a contrarian approach.
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If the US stocks are doing this, A-shares still want to have an independent trend, thinking too much.
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Thursday is usually easy to shake out the market, and now with such a long positive streak, a dive is inevitable today.
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After such a long rally, it's finally topping out. Let's wait a bit before going in again.
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The morning surge and pullback, I bet five dollars that it will be like this in the afternoon.
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CommunityJanitor
· 01-08 01:36
14 consecutive bullish candles, huh? It seems unlikely to avoid a pullback this time. It's safest to reduce positions first to protect capital.
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SignatureLiquidator
· 01-08 01:35
14 consecutive bullish candles for so long, it would be outrageous if it doesn't pull back today... U.S. stocks are exhausted, how long can the A-shares hold up?
A-shares are about to open, so I want to share some thoughts from last night and potential market movements today with everyone.
First, let's look at the performance of the US stock market. Last night, the three major indices showed mixed results — the Nasdaq rose slightly by 0.16%, but the Dow Jones fell by 0.94%, and the S&P 500 also declined by 0.34%. From this pattern, it appears that in the short term, US stocks are more likely to weaken in the very short term.
Next, let's consider the rhythm of our A-shares. Today is Thursday, and the market has already rallied for 14 consecutive days. According to conventional technical analysis, the likelihood of a pullback or consolidation today is higher. However, there's no need to be overly nervous; if a correction does occur, the area around 4034 points should serve as a relatively strong support.
From the overall pattern, I lean towards the market forming a relatively strong doji star today — meaning, if the market refuses to undergo a deep correction and volatility remains moderate, there is a possibility of a slight upward move tomorrow. Technically, the target for this rebound could be around 4132 points.
It's worth mentioning a common saying: after a continuous rise, a correction is inevitable — it's just a matter of timing. At this point, we can confirm one thing: this short-term rally is nearing its end. Therefore, regardless of your trading approach, it's crucial to control your positions and avoid heavy exposure.
On the operational level, those hot sectors that have already experienced significant gains should be cautiously avoided in the very short term. Conversely, sectors that have performed modestly recently and are still at relatively low levels are worth paying attention to for potential opportunities.
Also, pay attention to a detail: if the intraday chart shows a strong upward trend in the morning, be cautious about the possibility of a pullback or profit-taking in the afternoon. This is a common rhythm after a sustained rally.