Thursday Ethereum Morning Technical Analysis.



From the two-hour K-line chart, the recent consecutive bearish candles have relatively large bodies, indicating that the bears are releasing their strength. Interestingly, during the decline, the trading volume did not show significant accumulation, which instead suggests that the rebound momentum is already weakening. After a recent rally, this kind of pullback is a common technical correction. The possibility of further downside testing for support remains quite high.

Looking at the 4-hour chart, the price has already broken below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. The key support level below is around $3,120 — this is currently the most critical line of defense. All three lines of the KDJ indicator are already in the oversold zone. While oversold conditions may trigger a rebound, the overall trend still shows downward momentum has not changed. Therefore, before the price effectively recovers back above the Bollinger middle band, any rebound could present a better opportunity for short positions.

From a trading perspective, the first target below is around the previous low of $3,120. If the price breaks below that, the $3,000 psychological level may also come under threat.

Thursday Recommendation: Short at $3,200–$3,220, with a target around $3,100.
ETH0,37%
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ChainMelonWatchervip
· 22h ago
It's the same old story, Bollinger middle band, oversold rebound, bearish opportunities... No matter how well it's explained, it still comes down to guessing. Can 3120 really hold? I just can't seem to believe it.
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DaoDevelopervip
· 23h ago
volume's not stacking on these dumps tho... that's what gets me. yeah the technicals look bearish but smells like capitulation theater tbh. seen this pattern before in governance token crashes, the real moves happen when nobody's watching the charts anymore fr fr
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DeepRabbitHolevip
· 01-08 22:32
The fact that trading volume isn't piling up is indeed interesting; the bears are losing strength... A rebound is a good opportunity to short, this logic makes sense.
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NewDAOdreamervip
· 01-08 12:05
If this 3120 line of defense can't be held, it's back to 3000, and we'll have to buy the dip again.
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MetaMisfitvip
· 01-08 02:51
The shrinking volume of the bears, this trick is old. When there's a rebound, it's time to cut the short positions.
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EyeOfTheTokenStormvip
· 01-08 02:48
Quantitative models are flashing red again. The logic behind this wave of declining volume shrinking is the same as at the end of 2021. 3120 really cannot be broken; if it is broken, it actually indicates that institutions are shaking out.
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GasFeeNightmarevip
· 01-08 02:41
It's late at night again watching the market... If the 3120 support level breaks, it'll really hurt with the gas fees. Right now, there are plenty of bearish opportunities, but I'm worried that during a rebound, gwei might surge, and instead of saving on transaction fees, I'll get screwed over by miner tips.
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NewPumpamentalsvip
· 01-08 02:38
The 3120 defense line must be held, otherwise breaking 3000 would be the real trouble.
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GweiTooHighvip
· 01-08 02:35
Wow, it's the same old bearish narrative again—Bollinger Bands broke, oversold, 3120 is the line of defense... Why does that sound so familiar? Last time I said this, Ethereum reversed and gained two hundred dollars.
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